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La Liga

Referee: David Fernandez Borbalan

Alaves

T T S T S

1–1

Full-time

Las Palmas

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Las Palmas

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,0

This season — La Liga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 35%

31%

38%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

46%

69%

Both score Ø 62%

54%

69%

Average goals

2,2

3,5

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

10 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 13. · Las Palmas 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	14	10	4	0	+25	34
2	Barcelona	14	8	4	2	+19	28
3	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+5	27
4	Ath Madrid	14	7	4	3	+17	25
5	Villarreal	14	6	5	3	+9	23
6	Sociedad	13	7	2	4	+8	23
7	Ath Bilbao	14	7	2	5	+3	23
8	Eibar	14	6	3	5	+2	21
9	Celta	14	6	3	5	-2	21
10	Las Palmas	13	5	4	4	+3	19
11	Malaga	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Espanol	14	4	7	3	+0	19
13	Alaves	13	4	4	5	-3	16
14	Betis	14	4	3	7	-11	15
15	Leganes	14	4	2	8	-14	14
16	Valencia	13	3	2	8	-7	11
17	La Coruna	13	2	4	7	-10	10
18	Sp Gijon	13	2	3	8	-15	9
19	Granada	14	1	5	8	-17	8
20	Osasuna	13	1	4	8	-14	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+9	16
4	Malaga	7	5	1	1	+6	16
5	Ath Bilbao	7	5	1	1	+6	16
6	Eibar	7	5	1	1	+6	16
7	Las Palmas	7	4	3	0	+8	15
8	Celta	7	5	0	2	+3	15
9	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+11	14
10	Sociedad	7	4	2	1	+6	14
11	Barcelona	7	3	3	1	+8	12
12	Betis	7	2	3	2	-3	9
13	Espanol	7	1	4	2	-1	7
14	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
16	Granada	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
18	Leganes	7	1	2	4	-6	5
19	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Osasuna	7	0	2	5	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+16	17
2	Barcelona	7	5	1	1	+11	16
3	Espanol	7	3	3	1	+1	12
4	Ath Madrid	7	3	2	2	+6	11
5	Alaves	7	3	1	3	-1	10
6	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Sevilla	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Leganes	7	3	0	4	-8	9
9	Villarreal	7	1	4	2	+0	7
10	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-2	7
11	Ath Bilbao	7	2	1	4	-3	7
12	Celta	7	1	3	3	-5	6
13	Betis	7	2	0	5	-8	6
14	Eibar	7	1	2	4	-4	5
15	Osasuna	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	7	0	3	4	-9	3
19	Sp Gijon	7	0	2	5	-9	2
20	Granada	7	0	2	5	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.