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LaLiga2

Almeria

T U S T U

3–0

Full-time

Ponferradina

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Ponferradina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,7

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 47%

56%

38%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

41%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

47%

62%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

16 Shots 6

9 Shots on target 4

9 Corners 3

9 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Almeria 3. · Ponferradina 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	35	19	10	6	+12	67
2	Valladolid	35	19	8	8	+20	65
3	Almeria	34	19	6	9	+22	63
4	Tenerife	35	17	8	10	+16	59
5	Girona	35	17	7	11	+15	58
6	Oviedo	35	13	15	7	+11	54
7	Las Palmas	35	14	11	10	+4	53
8	Ponferradina	34	13	12	9	+4	51
9	Huesca	35	12	12	11	+9	48
10	Ibiza	35	11	14	10	+0	47
11	Zaragoza	35	10	17	8	-4	47
12	Burgos	35	13	7	15	+2	46
13	Cartagena	35	14	4	17	-3	46
14	Mirandes	35	13	7	15	-4	46
15	Lugo	35	9	18	8	+0	45
16	Leganes	35	11	12	12	-1	45
17	Sp Gijon	35	10	11	14	-2	41
18	Malaga	35	9	11	15	-21	38
19	Amorebieta	35	5	16	14	-14	31
20	Sociedad B	35	7	10	18	-15	31
21	Fuenlabrada	35	5	14	16	-19	29
22	Alcorcon	35	4	10	21	-32	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eibar	17	12	4	1	+14	40
2	Valladolid	17	12	3	2	+21	39
3	Girona	18	11	3	4	+17	36
4	Almeria	17	11	3	3	+16	36
5	Oviedo	18	9	7	2	+15	34
6	Burgos	17	9	5	3	+16	32
7	Las Palmas	18	9	5	4	+8	32
8	Mirandes	18	10	2	6	+7	32
9	Cartagena	17	10	1	6	+12	31
10	Lugo	17	8	7	2	+6	31
11	Tenerife	17	8	4	5	+10	28
12	Ponferradina	17	7	7	3	+9	28
13	Zaragoza	18	6	9	3	+3	27
14	Malaga	18	7	6	5	-3	27
15	Ibiza	18	6	8	4	+6	26
16	Leganes	17	6	8	3	+5	26
17	Huesca	18	6	7	5	+5	25
18	Sp Gijon	17	7	3	7	+2	24
19	Fuenlabrada	18	4	9	5	-1	21
20	Amorebieta	17	4	8	5	+0	20
21	Sociedad B	18	3	4	11	-11	13
22	Alcorcon	17	2	7	8	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tenerife	18	9	4	5	+6	31
2	Almeria	17	8	3	6	+6	27
3	Eibar	18	7	6	5	-2	27
4	Valladolid	18	7	5	6	-1	26
5	Huesca	17	6	5	6	+4	23
6	Ponferradina	17	6	5	6	-5	23
7	Girona	17	6	4	7	-2	22
8	Las Palmas	17	5	6	6	-4	21
9	Ibiza	17	5	6	6	-6	21
10	Oviedo	17	4	8	5	-4	20
11	Zaragoza	17	4	8	5	-7	20
12	Leganes	18	5	4	9	-6	19
13	Sociedad B	17	4	6	7	-4	18
14	Sp Gijon	18	3	8	7	-4	17
15	Cartagena	18	4	3	11	-15	15
16	Lugo	18	1	11	6	-6	14
17	Mirandes	17	3	5	9	-11	14
18	Burgos	18	4	2	12	-14	14
19	Amorebieta	18	1	8	9	-14	11
20	Malaga	17	2	5	10	-18	11
21	Alcorcon	18	2	3	13	-18	9
22	Fuenlabrada	17	1	5	11	-18	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.