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LaLiga2

Girona

S S U S U

3–1

Full-time

Lugo

S S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Lugo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,2

This season — LaLiga2 · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 33%

44%

22%

Points per game

1,6

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

39%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

2,6

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 5

11 Corners 4

17 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Girona 5. · Lugo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	18	12	3	3	+12	39
2	Almeria	19	9	8	2	+14	35
3	Huesca	19	10	2	7	+8	32
4	Fuenlabrada	19	9	5	5	+5	32
5	Girona	18	8	4	6	+4	28
6	Zaragoza	18	7	6	5	+4	27
7	Elche	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Albacete	19	8	3	8	-6	27
9	Numancia	18	6	8	4	+3	26
10	Alcorcon	19	6	7	6	-1	25
11	Las Palmas	18	7	4	7	-1	25
12	Mirandes	19	6	7	6	-6	25
13	Vallecano	19	5	9	5	+3	24
14	Ponferradina	19	5	9	5	+2	24
15	Sp Gijon	19	5	7	7	-1	22
16	Oviedo	19	5	6	8	-4	21
17	Lugo	18	4	9	5	-5	21
18	Malaga	19	4	8	7	-2	20
19	Tenerife	19	4	6	9	-5	18
20	Santander	19	2	11	6	-3	17
21	Extremadura UD	19	4	5	10	-10	17
22	La Coruna	18	1	9	8	-15	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	8	7	1	0	+11	22
2	Huesca	10	7	1	2	+9	22
3	Almeria	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Girona	9	6	2	1	+7	20
5	Fuenlabrada	9	5	3	1	+5	18
6	Numancia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
7	Ponferradina	10	4	5	1	+6	17
8	Mirandes	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Zaragoza	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Sp Gijon	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Las Palmas	9	4	2	3	+1	14
12	Vallecano	9	3	4	2	+2	13
13	Elche	9	3	4	2	+2	13
14	Lugo	10	3	4	3	-3	13
15	Oviedo	9	2	6	1	+1	12
16	Santander	10	2	5	3	+2	11
17	Malaga	9	2	5	2	+1	11
18	Albacete	9	3	2	4	-4	11
19	Alcorcon	10	3	1	6	-6	10
20	Extremadura UD	9	2	2	5	-4	8
21	Tenerife	9	1	4	4	-4	7
22	La Coruna	8	1	4	3	-4	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	10	5	2	3	+1	17
2	Albacete	10	5	1	4	-2	16
3	Alcorcon	9	3	6	0	+5	15
4	Almeria	10	3	6	1	+4	15
5	Elche	9	4	2	3	+2	14
6	Fuenlabrada	10	4	2	4	+0	14
7	Zaragoza	8	3	3	2	+0	12
8	Vallecano	10	2	5	3	+1	11
9	Tenerife	10	3	2	5	-1	11
10	Las Palmas	9	3	2	4	-2	11
11	Huesca	9	3	1	5	-1	10
12	Malaga	10	2	3	5	-3	9
13	Oviedo	10	3	0	7	-5	9
14	Extremadura UD	10	2	3	5	-6	9
15	Numancia	8	1	5	2	-2	8
16	Lugo	8	1	5	2	-2	8
17	Girona	9	2	2	5	-3	8
18	Mirandes	9	2	2	5	-10	8
19	Ponferradina	9	1	4	4	-4	7
20	Sp Gijon	9	1	4	4	-5	7
21	Santander	9	0	6	3	-5	6
22	La Coruna	10	0	5	5	-11	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.