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LaLiga2

Alcorcon

S T S

0–3

Full-time

Zaragoza

S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alcorcon Zaragoza

Last 6 — all competitions · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

This season — LaLiga2 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

3,3

1,7

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

8 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 5

8 Corners 9

13 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alcorcon 7. · Zaragoza 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cadiz	4	4	0	0	+5	12
2	Almeria	4	3	1	0	+5	10
3	Fuenlabrada	4	3	1	0	+4	10
4	Huesca	4	3	0	1	+3	9
5	Zaragoza	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Girona	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Alcorcon	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Albacete	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Ponferradina	4	1	2	1	+2	5
10	Sp Gijon	4	1	2	1	+1	5
11	Vallecano	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Numancia	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Malaga	4	1	1	2	-1	4
14	Mirandes	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Elche	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Tenerife	4	1	1	2	-5	4
17	Las Palmas	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Lugo	4	0	3	1	-2	3
19	La Coruna	4	1	0	3	-4	3
20	Santander	4	0	2	2	-2	2
21	Extremadura UD	4	0	2	2	-2	2
22	Oviedo	4	0	1	3	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Girona	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Almeria	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Huesca	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Zaragoza	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Ponferradina	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sp Gijon	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Tenerife	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Fuenlabrada	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Numancia	2	1	0	1	+1	3
12	Albacete	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	La Coruna	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Mirandes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
15	Oviedo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Malaga	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
19	Lugo	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Santander	3	0	1	2	-2	1
21	Elche	2	0	1	1	-2	1
22	Alcorcon	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alcorcon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Fuenlabrada	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Cadiz	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Almeria	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Elche	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Malaga	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Huesca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Albacete	3	1	0	2	-4	3
9	Lugo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Las Palmas	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Santander	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Zaragoza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Numancia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Extremadura UD	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Sp Gijon	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Mirandes	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Ponferradina	2	0	1	1	-2	1
18	Vallecano	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Girona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Oviedo	3	0	0	3	-3	0
21	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-4	0
22	Tenerife	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.