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Coppa Italia
Referee: L De Angeli
3–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cesena Padova
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,0
0,0
Conceded
2,0
3,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Cesena Padova
1–0 A. Kargbo
9′
2–0 C. Shpendi
38′
Half-time 2–0
Marco Curto 🟨
50′
57′
🔁 F. Belli
↦ C. Faedo
57′
🔁 S. Russini
↦ S. Palombi
57′
🔁 G. Favale
↦ L. Villa
A. Ciofi 🔁
↦ M. Curto
66′
M. Francesconi 🔁
↦ J. Ceesay
66′
66′
🔁 M. Bortolussi
↦ N. Kirwan
M. Antonucci 🔁
↦ A. Kargbo
73′
73′
M. Bortolussi 2–1
76′
🔁 N. Bianchi
↦ K. Varas
3–1 M. Francesconi
86′
S. Pieraccini 🔁
↦ E. Adamo
87′
R. Ogunseye 🔁
↦ C. Shpendi
87′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Cesena

3-4-1-2
1 M. Pisseri G
24 M. Mangraviti D
19 G. Prestia D
3 M. Curto D
11 J. Ceesay M
14 T. Berti M
30 S. Bastoni D
7 D. Donnarumma D
17 E. Adamo F
10 A. Kargbo F
9 C. Shpendi F
Bench (11)
15 A. Ciofi
70 M. Francesconi
23 M. Antonucci
73 S. Pieraccini
16 R. Ogunseye
4 R. Chiarello
26 M. Piacentini
33 J. Klinsmann
92 V. Coveri
71 G. Manetti
22 G. Veliaj

Coach: M. Mignani

Padova

4-2-3-1
1 M. Fortin G
26 N. Kirwan M
2 F. Delli Carri D
72 C. Faedo D
14 L. Villa D
7 K. Varas M
5 M. Perrotta D
17 A. Capelli M
6 L. Crisetig M
96 S. Palombi F
9 A. Spagnoli F
Bench (14)
4 F. Belli
10 S. Russini
30 G. Favale
20 M. Bortolussi
15 N. Bianchi
8 P. Fusi
12 M. Voltan
13 L. Crescenzi
22 M. Carniello
23 A. Granata
37 A. Montrone
73 A. Targa
77 F. Tumiatti
99 A. Beccaro

Coach: M. Andreoletti

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.