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Serie B

Referee: G Ayroldi

Sudtirol

S S T S U

1–1

Full-time

Spezia

S S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sudtirol Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,7

Scored

1,8

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

30%

48%

Points per game

1,1

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

59%

37%

Both score Ø 47%

52%

41%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

1,1

1,5

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

14 Shots 24

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 10

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

2 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 15

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sudtirol 17. · Spezia 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	27	19	5	3	+33	62
2	Pisa	27	16	7	4	+19	55
3	Spezia	27	13	11	3	+22	50
4	Catanzaro	27	9	15	3	+9	42
5	Cremonese	27	11	8	8	+10	41
6	Juve Stabia	27	10	9	8	+0	39
7	Bari	27	8	13	6	+4	37
8	Cesena	27	10	7	10	+0	37
9	Palermo	27	9	8	10	+5	35
10	Modena	27	7	13	7	+2	34
11	Carrarese	27	8	7	12	-9	31
12	Cittadella	27	8	7	12	-16	31
13	Brescia	27	6	12	9	-5	30
14	Reggiana	27	7	9	11	-5	30
15	Sampdoria	27	6	11	10	-7	29
16	Mantova	27	6	11	10	-9	29
17	Sudtirol	27	8	5	14	-12	29
18	Salernitana	27	6	8	13	-11	26
19	Cosenza	27	5	10	12	-13	25
20	Frosinone	27	4	12	11	-17	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	13	11	1	1	+22	34
2	Pisa	14	10	3	1	+16	33
3	Spezia	13	8	4	1	+14	28
4	Catanzaro	14	6	6	2	+8	24
5	Juve Stabia	13	7	3	3	+5	24
6	Carrarese	13	7	3	3	+4	24
7	Cesena	13	6	5	2	+6	23
8	Bari	14	5	7	2	+4	22
9	Modena	13	5	6	2	+6	21
10	Cremonese	14	5	5	4	+1	20
11	Palermo	13	5	4	4	+4	19
12	Salernitana	14	5	4	5	+0	19
13	Mantova	13	5	4	4	-1	19
14	Reggiana	14	4	5	5	-1	17
15	Sampdoria	14	4	5	5	-1	17
16	Brescia	14	3	7	4	+0	16
17	Sudtirol	13	4	3	6	-5	15
18	Cosenza	14	3	6	5	-5	15
19	Frosinone	14	2	7	5	-8	13
20	Cittadella	13	2	6	5	-5	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Spezia	14	5	7	2	+8	22
3	Pisa	13	6	4	3	+3	22
4	Cremonese	13	6	3	4	+9	21
5	Cittadella	14	6	1	7	-11	19
6	Catanzaro	13	3	9	1	+1	18
7	Palermo	14	4	4	6	+1	16
8	Bari	13	3	6	4	+0	15
9	Juve Stabia	14	3	6	5	-5	15
10	Brescia	13	3	5	5	-5	14
11	Cesena	14	4	2	8	-6	14
12	Sudtirol	14	4	2	8	-7	14
13	Modena	14	2	7	5	-4	13
14	Reggiana	13	3	4	6	-4	13
15	Sampdoria	13	2	6	5	-6	12
16	Frosinone	13	2	5	6	-9	11
17	Mantova	14	1	7	6	-8	10
18	Cosenza	13	2	4	7	-8	10
19	Salernitana	13	1	4	8	-11	7
20	Carrarese	14	1	4	9	-13	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.