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Serie B

Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi

Bari

S S U S T

0–1

Full-time

Sudtirol

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Sudtirol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-1,7

This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches

Win Ø 27%

29%

24%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

29%

65%

Both score Ø 53%

53%

Average goals

2,1

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 18

2 Shots on target 6

6 Blocked shots 6

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 5

0 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bari 7. · Sudtirol 20. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	17	12	4	1	+24	40
2	Pisa	17	10	5	2	+13	35
3	Spezia	17	9	7	1	+17	34
4	Cremonese	17	7	4	6	+4	25
5	Cesena	17	7	4	6	+3	25
6	Juve Stabia	17	6	7	4	-1	25
7	Bari	17	5	9	3	+4	24
8	Catanzaro	17	4	11	2	+4	23
9	Palermo	17	5	6	6	+2	21
10	Brescia	18	5	6	7	-3	21
11	Modena	17	4	8	5	+0	20
12	Cosenza	17	4	8	5	-2	20
13	Carrarese	17	5	5	7	-5	20
14	Mantova	17	4	7	6	-4	19
15	Reggiana	17	4	6	7	-3	18
16	Sampdoria	17	4	6	7	-6	18
17	Salernitana	18	4	6	8	-7	18
18	Frosinone	17	3	7	7	-10	16
19	Cittadella	17	3	6	8	-16	15
20	Sudtirol	17	4	2	11	-14	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Spezia	8	7	1	0	+14	22
2	Pisa	9	6	3	0	+11	21
3	Cesena	9	6	2	1	+7	20
4	Sassuolo	8	6	1	1	+14	19
5	Carrarese	8	4	3	1	+5	15
6	Mantova	8	4	3	1	+3	15
7	Catanzaro	9	3	5	1	+5	14
8	Bari	9	3	5	1	+2	14
9	Modena	8	3	3	2	+3	12
10	Brescia	9	3	3	3	+1	12
11	Salernitana	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Juve Stabia	8	3	2	3	-2	11
13	Cremonese	8	3	2	3	-2	11
14	Cosenza	9	2	4	3	-2	10
15	Palermo	8	2	3	3	+1	9
16	Sampdoria	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	Reggiana	9	2	3	4	-2	9
18	Frosinone	9	1	5	3	-4	8
19	Sudtirol	9	2	2	5	-7	8
20	Cittadella	8	0	6	2	-3	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sassuolo	9	6	3	0	+10	21
2	Cremonese	9	4	2	3	+6	14
3	Pisa	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Juve Stabia	9	3	5	1	+1	14
5	Spezia	9	2	6	1	+3	12
6	Palermo	9	3	3	3	+1	12
7	Bari	8	2	4	2	+2	10
8	Cosenza	8	2	4	2	+0	10
9	Catanzaro	8	1	6	1	-1	9
10	Reggiana	8	2	3	3	-1	9
11	Brescia	9	2	3	4	-4	9
12	Sampdoria	9	2	3	4	-5	9
13	Cittadella	9	3	0	6	-13	9
14	Modena	9	1	5	3	-3	8
15	Frosinone	8	2	2	4	-6	8
16	Salernitana	8	1	3	4	-6	6
17	Sudtirol	8	2	0	6	-7	6
18	Cesena	8	1	2	5	-4	5
19	Carrarese	9	1	2	6	-10	5
20	Mantova	9	0	4	5	-7	4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.