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Serie B
Referee: G Ayroldi
Sassuolo
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Palermo
U U S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Palermo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,8
1,8
Scored
2,5
0,8
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,2
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 50%
71%
29%
Points per game
2,4
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
47%
24%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
41%
Average goals
3,1
1,9
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
+1,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

51% Possession 49%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
6 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 8
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 1. · Palermo 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 17 12 4 1 +24 40
2 Pisa 17 10 5 2 +13 35
3 Spezia 17 9 7 1 +17 34
4 Cremonese 17 7 4 6 +4 25
5 Cesena 17 7 4 6 +3 25
6 Juve Stabia 17 6 7 4 -1 25
7 Bari 17 5 9 3 +4 24
8 Catanzaro 17 4 11 2 +4 23
9 Palermo 17 5 6 6 +2 21
10 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
11 Modena 17 4 8 5 +0 20
12 Cosenza 17 4 8 5 -2 20
13 Carrarese 17 5 5 7 -5 20
14 Mantova 17 4 7 6 -4 19
15 Reggiana 17 4 6 7 -3 18
16 Sampdoria 17 4 6 7 -6 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Frosinone 17 3 7 7 -10 16
19 Cittadella 17 3 6 8 -16 15
20 Sudtirol 17 4 2 11 -14 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Palermo
1–0 A. Laurienté
K. Thorstvedt
9′
21′
J. Le Douaron 1–1
F. Ranocchia
Half-time 1–1
N. Pierini 🔁
↦ L. Moro
58′
J. Doig 🔁
↦ E. Pieragnolo
58′
68′
🔁 A. Vasić
↦ V. Verre
2–1 N. Pierini
70′
77′
🔁 R. Insigne
↦ F. Di Mariano
77′
🔁 S. Appuah
↦ F. Di Francesco
E. Iannoni 🔁
↦ Pedro Obiang
80′
82′
🟨 Rayyan Baniya
84′
🟨 Dimitris Nikolaou
86′
🔁 M. Brunori
↦ J. Le Douaron
86′
🔁 T. Henry
↦ J. Segre
F. Russo 🔁
↦ A. Laurienté
87′
M. Lovato 🔁
↦ D. Berardi
87′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
26 C. Odenthal D
80 T. Muharemović D
15 E. Pieragnolo D
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
24 L. Moro F
Bench (12)
77 N. Pierini
3 J. Doig
40 E. Iannoni
91 F. Russo
20 M. Lovato
44 K. Miranda
25 L. D'Andrea
28 J. Antiste
35 L. Lipani
12 G. Satalino
17 Y. Paz
8 A. Ghion

Coach: F. Grosso

Palermo

4-3-3
1 S. Desplanches G
4 R. Baniya D
43 D. Nikolaou D
32 P. Ceccaroni D
3 K. Lund D
7 F. Di Mariano M
8 J. Segre M
10 F. Ranocchia M
26 V. Verre F
21 J. Le Douaron F
17 F. Di Francesco F
Bench (10)
14 A. Vasić
11 R. Insigne
19 S. Appuah
9 M. Brunori
20 T. Henry
46 S. Sirigu
25 A. Buttaro
30 D. Šarić
18 I. Nedelcearu
12 M. Nespola

Coach: A. Dionisi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,79
U
3,78
B
4,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,68
U2,5
2,15
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

G Ayroldi · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.