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Serie B
Referee: R Abisso
Pisa
T U S S T
3–1
Full-time
Sassuolo
S T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pisa Sassuolo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,7
4,2
Scored
1,7
2,7
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 64%
56%
72%
Points per game
1,9
2,4
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
56%
56%
Average goals
2,7
3,1
Scored
1,7
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

33% Possession 67%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 5
15 Free kicks against 16
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pisa 3. · Sassuolo 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sassuolo 18 13 4 1 +25 43
2 Spezia 18 10 7 1 +18 37
3 Pisa 18 10 5 3 +12 35
4 Juve Stabia 18 7 7 4 +0 28
5 Cremonese 18 7 5 6 +4 26
6 Cesena 18 7 4 7 +2 25
7 Bari 18 5 9 4 +3 24
8 Catanzaro 18 4 11 3 +3 23
9 Modena 18 5 8 5 +1 23
10 Carrarese 18 6 5 7 -4 23
11 Mantova 18 5 7 6 -2 22
12 Palermo 18 5 6 7 +1 21
13 Brescia 18 5 6 7 -3 21
14 Cosenza 18 4 8 6 -3 20
15 Sampdoria 18 4 7 7 -6 19
16 Reggiana 18 4 6 8 -5 18
17 Salernitana 18 4 6 8 -7 18
18 Cittadella 18 4 6 8 -14 18
19 Sudtirol 18 5 2 11 -13 17
20 Frosinone 18 3 7 8 -12 16

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pisa Sassuolo
Antonio Caracciolo 🟨
16′
1–0 M. Tramoni
S. Moreo
24′
2–0 I. Touré
M. Marin
33′
Half-time 2–0
58′
🟨 Josh Doig
3–0 M. Tramoni
S. Angori
61′
62′
🔁 A. Ghion
↦ D. Boloca
62′
🔁 E. Pieragnolo
↦ J. Doig
63′
🔁 E. Iannoni
↦ Pedro Obiang
64′
🟨 Domenico Berardi
M. Højholt 🔁
↦ G. Piccinini
70′
70′
N. Pierini 3–1
80′
🟨 Tarik Muharemović
80′
🔁 F. Russo
↦ N. Pierini
A. Calabresi 🔁
↦ M. Tramoni
87′
87′
🔁 L. D'Andrea
↦ A. Laurienté
J. Mlakar 🔁
↦ S. Moreo
88′
O. Abildgaard 🔁
↦ I. Touré
92′
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Pisa

3-4-2-1
47 A. Šemper G
17 A. Rus D
4 A. Caracciolo D
5 S. Canestrelli D
15 I. Touré M
36 G. Piccinini M
6 M. Marin M
3 S. Angori M
32 S. Moreo F
11 M. Tramoni F
45 A. Lind F
Bench (12)
8 M. Højholt
33 A. Calabresi
7 J. Mlakar
28 O. Abildgaard
20 P. Beruatto
94 G. Bonfanti
30 A. Arena
80 O. Moruțan
9 N. Bonfanti
1 Nícolas
74 Ž. Jevšenak
10 E. Vignato

Coach: F. Inzaghi

Sassuolo

4-2-3-1
31 H. Moldovan G
23 J. Toljan D
20 M. Lovato D
80 T. Muharemović D
3 J. Doig D
14 Pedro Obiang M
11 D. Boloca M
10 D. Berardi M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
45 A. Laurienté M
77 N. Pierini F
Bench (12)
8 A. Ghion
15 E. Pieragnolo
40 E. Iannoni
91 F. Russo
25 L. D'Andrea
17 Y. Paz
26 C. Odenthal
24 L. Moro
44 K. Miranda
28 J. Antiste
12 G. Satalino
35 L. Lipani

Coach: F. Grosso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,91
U
3,25
B
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,94
U2,5
1,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Abisso · 98 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.