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Super League
Panathinaikos
T U U S T
1–1
Full-time
Aris
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,8
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 51%
38%
63%
Points per game
1,5
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
25%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
25%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,3
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 1
5 Corners 2
12 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 9. · Aris 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 PAOK 9 5 2 2 +7 17
2 Aris Thessalonikis 8 5 2 1 +6 17
3 Aris 8 5 2 1 +6 17
4 AEK 9 4 3 2 +8 15
5 Olympiakos 10 4 3 3 +5 15
6 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +3 14
7 Asteras Tripolis 10 3 5 2 +2 14
8 OFI Crete 9 4 2 3 +0 14
9 Panathinaikos 8 3 3 2 +1 12
10 Panserraikos 10 3 1 6 -6 10
11 Volos NFC 9 3 1 5 -7 10
12 Atromitos 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Lamia 10 1 4 5 -9 7
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 6 3 -6 6
15 Athens Kallithea 9 0 5 4 -7 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,71
U ✓
3,58
B
4,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,92
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.