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2. Bundesliga

Referee: S Storks

Darmstadt

U S T U S

1–1

Full-time

Ulm

T S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Darmstadt Ulm

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,3

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

4,8

2,3

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

2,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 22%

22%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

67%

56%

Both score Ø 67%

78%

56%

Average goals

4,1

2,3

Scored

1,9

1,0

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

69% Possession 31%

15 Shots 5

5 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Darmstadt 13. · Ulm 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	10	6	2	2	+6	20
2	Paderborn	10	5	4	1	+5	19
3	Karlsruhe	10	5	4	1	+4	19
4	Hamburg	10	5	3	2	+11	18
5	Hertha	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Elversberg	10	4	4	2	+7	16
7	Magdeburg	9	4	4	1	+6	16
8	Nurnberg	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Hannover	9	5	1	3	+4	16
10	Kaiserslautern	10	4	3	3	+2	15
11	Greuther Furth	10	3	4	3	+0	13
12	FC Koln	10	3	3	4	+2	12
13	Darmstadt	9	2	3	4	-3	9
14	Schalke 04	10	2	2	6	-5	8
15	Ulm	9	2	1	6	-3	7
16	Braunschweig	9	2	1	6	-12	7
17	Preußen Münster	9	1	3	5	-5	6
18	Regensburg	10	1	1	8	-26	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Hamburg	5	3	2	0	+10	11
3	Paderborn	4	3	1	0	+6	10
4	Elversberg	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Karlsruhe	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Nurnberg	5	3	0	2	+2	9
7	FC Koln	6	2	1	3	+4	7
8	Braunschweig	4	2	0	2	+1	6
9	Hertha	5	2	0	3	-2	6
10	Kaiserslautern	4	1	2	1	+2	5
11	Darmstadt	5	1	2	2	+1	5
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	2	2	-3	5
13	Greuther Furth	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Magdeburg	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-1	4
16	Regensburg	5	1	1	3	-9	4
17	Ulm	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Preußen Münster	5	0	3	2	-2	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Magdeburg	5	4	0	1	+6	12
3	Hertha	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Kaiserslautern	6	3	1	2	+0	10
5	Karlsruhe	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Paderborn	6	2	3	1	-1	9
7	Greuther Furth	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Nurnberg	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Hamburg	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Elversberg	5	1	3	1	+2	6
11	FC Koln	4	1	2	1	-2	5
12	Ulm	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	-4	4
14	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-4	4
15	Preußen Münster	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Hannover	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Braunschweig	5	0	1	4	-13	1
18	Regensburg	5	0	0	5	-17	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.