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Süper Lig
Referee: Y Kol
Alanyaspor
U S S T T
1–2
Full-time
Antalyaspor
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
3,0
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,0
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 22%
22%
22%
Points per game
1,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
44%
56%
Average goals
2,2
3,2
Scored
0,9
1,1
Conceded
1,3
2,1
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,22 xG 1,11
53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 7
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alanyaspor 15. · Antalyaspor 17. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 9 8 1 0 +19 +6.4 25
2 Samsunspor 10 7 1 2 +10 +4.8 22
3 Besiktas 8 6 2 0 +12 +8.4 20
4 Fenerbahce 8 5 2 1 +11 +10.4 17
5 Goztep 9 4 3 2 +5 +1.1 15
6 Eyüpspor 9 4 3 2 +4 +0.9 15
7 Buyuksehyr 8 4 2 2 +4 +0.3 14
8 Sivasspor 10 4 2 4 +0 -6.3 14
9 Trabzonspor 9 2 6 1 +1 -1.6 12
10 Kasimpasa 10 2 5 3 -4 +1.3 11
11 Konyaspor 10 3 2 5 -5 -0.8 11
12 Bodrumspor 9 3 1 5 -3 +0.2 10
13 Rizespor 9 3 1 5 -10 -3.7 10
14 Gaziantep 9 2 3 4 -2 -2.4 9
15 Alanyaspor 9 2 3 4 -4 +0.9 9
16 Kayserispor 9 1 5 3 -6 -4.4 8
17 Antalyaspor 9 2 2 5 -9 -6.8 8
18 Hatayspor 9 0 3 6 -8 -6.1 3
19 Ad. Demirspor 9 0 1 8 -15 -2.8 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alanyaspor Antalyaspor
1–0 Hwang Ui-Jo ⚽
S. Córdova
25′
Half-time 1–0
Richard Cândido 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 A. Gaich
↦ J. Kałuziński
62′
🔁 A. Townsend
↦ B. Samudio
62′
⚽ M. Djenepo 1–1
S. Larsson
E. Karaca 🔁
↦ Richard
70′
75′
⚽ A. Gaich 1–2
S. Larsson
Rony Lopes 🔁
↦ S. Córdova
78′
S. Dursun 🔁
↦ N. Janvier
78′
84′
🔁 S. van de Streek
↦ M. Djenepo
86′
🟨 Thalisson Kelven
Rony Lopes 🟨
92′
93′
🔁 A. Gërxhaliu
↦ S. Larsson
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Alanyaspor

4-2-3-1
1 E. Taşkıran G
94 F. Hadergjonaj D
3 Nuno Lima D
5 F. Aliti D
88 Y. Özdemir D
25 Richard M
42 G. Makouta M
9 S. Córdova M
17 N. Janvier M
27 Loide Augusto M
16 Hwang Ui-Jo F
Bench (10)
7 E. Karaca
11 Rony Lopes
10 S. Dursun
70 Juan Christian
21 B. Bulut
15 A. Usluoğlu
22 B. Çeken
26 E. Altıntaş
23 M. Bayram
20 F. Aksoy

Coach: F. Tekke

Antalyaspor

4-1-4-1
13 K. Pirić G
17 E. Yeşilyurt D
89 V. Sarı D
2 Thalisson Kelven D
11 G. Vural D
16 O. Petrusenko M
81 B. Samudio M
6 E. Rakip M
18 J. Kałuziński M
12 M. Djenepo M
10 S. Larsson F
Bench (10)
9 A. Gaich
25 A. Townsend
22 S. van de Streek
4 A. Gërxhaliu
72 H. Toprak
77 A. Dursun
21 A. Yiğiter
88 T. Özmert
20 E. Uzun
91 B. İngenç

Coach: Alex

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,97
U
3,55
B ✓
3,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
O2,5 ✓
1,93
U2,5
1,86
U3,5 ✓
–
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
BLS nei
–

Referee

Y Kol · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,37 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.