Premier League
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Crystal Palace
Tottenham
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 1–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | xG +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Man City
|
9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +11 | +9.5 | 23 |
| 2 |
Liverpool
|
8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +12 | +10.0 | 21 |
| 3 |
Aston Villa
|
9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | +4.5 | 18 |
| 4 |
Arsenal
|
8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +7 | +4.5 | 17 |
| 5 |
Brighton
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | -1.3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Nott'm Forest
|
9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | +2.3 | 16 |
| 7 |
Chelsea
|
8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +7 | +5.8 | 14 |
| 8 |
Tottenham
|
8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +9 | +8.0 | 13 |
| 9 |
Brentford
|
9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +0 | +0.3 | 13 |
| 10 |
Fulham
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | +3.3 | 12 |
| 11 |
Bournemouth
|
9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | +2.6 | 12 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +0 | +1.0 | 12 |
| 13 |
Man United
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -2 | +0.0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Leicester
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -4 | -9.7 | 9 |
| 15 |
Everton
|
9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -6 | -4.9 | 9 |
| 16 |
West Ham
|
8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | -4 | -1.3 | 8 |
| 17 |
Ipswich
|
9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -11 | -13.9 | 4 |
| 18 |
Crystal Palace
|
8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -6 | -3.1 | 3 |
| 19 |
Wolves
|
9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -13 | -8.0 | 2 |
| 20 |
Southampton
|
9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -13 | -9.5 | 1 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
D. Henderson
G
T. Chalobah
D
M. Lacroix
D
M. Guéhi
D
D. Muñoz
M
A. Wharton
M
J. Lerma
M
T. Mitchell
M
I. Sarr
F
E. Eze
F
J. Mateta
F
Coach: O. Glasner
G. Vicario
G
Pedro Porro
D
C. Romero
D
M. van de Ven
D
D. Udogie
D
J. Maddison
M
B. Johnson
F
D. Solanke
F
M. Moore
F
Coach: A. Postecoglou
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Nott'm Forest
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Liverpool
Everton
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Man United
QPR
Crystal Palace
D Bond · 157 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.