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Serie B

Referee: M Mariani

Carrarese

T T T S T

0–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

S U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Carrarese Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

67%

100%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Serie B · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 25%

25%

Points per game

0,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

50%

100%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,0

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

42% Possession 58%

14 Shots 16

3 Shots on target 7

4 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Carrarese 18. · Sassuolo 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	5	3	0	2	+3	9
2	Spezia	5	2	3	0	+2	9
3	Pisa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Juve Stabia	5	2	2	1	+1	8
5	Cittadella	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Reggiana	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Cremonese	5	2	1	2	+2	7
8	Cesena	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Palermo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
10	Mantova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Salernitana	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Sudtirol	4	2	0	2	-1	6
14	Cosenza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
15	Modena	5	1	2	2	-1	5
16	Bari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Sassuolo	4	1	2	1	-2	5
18	Carrarese	4	1	0	3	-2	3
19	Frosinone	5	0	3	2	-5	3
20	Sampdoria	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Cesena	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Brescia	3	2	0	1	+4	6
4	Salernitana	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Spezia	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Mantova	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Sudtirol	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Catanzaro	3	1	2	0	+2	5
9	Reggiana	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Cosenza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
11	Bari	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Cremonese	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Frosinone	3	0	3	0	+0	3
15	Modena	2	1	0	1	+0	3
16	Juve Stabia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
17	Sassuolo	2	1	0	1	-2	3
18	Cittadella	2	0	2	0	+0	2
19	Palermo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+1	6
2	Palermo	4	2	0	2	+0	6
3	Juve Stabia	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	Cremonese	2	1	0	1	+2	3
5	Spezia	3	0	3	0	+0	3
6	Reggiana	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Brescia	2	1	0	1	-1	3
8	Sassuolo	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Modena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Pisa	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Sampdoria	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Cosenza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Bari	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Catanzaro	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Mantova	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Cesena	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Salernitana	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Sudtirol	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Carrarese	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Frosinone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.