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Serie B
Referee: M Gualtieri
Bari
U T T S T
0–0
Full-time
Cosenza
S T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bari Cosenza
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,0
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Serie B · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 27%
24%
29%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
35%
41%
Both score Ø 50%
59%
41%
Average goals
2,1
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

55% Possession 45%
16 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 6
2 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
15 Free kicks against 19
5 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Bari 11. · Cosenza 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 18 9 3 6 +5 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 17 7 3 7 +0 24
11 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
12 Sudtirol 17 5 5 7 +0 20
13 Cosenza 17 5 5 7 -1 20
14 Pisa 17 4 6 7 -4 18
15 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
16 Reggiana 17 3 8 6 -5 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 17 4 4 9 -6 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 17 2 4 11 -19 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bari Cosenza
Valerio Di Cesare 🟨
12′
Giacomo Ricci 🟨
16′
Ahmad Benali 🟨
31′
36′
🟨 Aldo Florenzi
Half-time 0–0
Ž. Žužek 🔁
↦ V. Di Cesare
46′
46′
🔁 I. Voca
↦ A. Florenzi
Marco Nasti 🟨
48′
56′
🔁 G. Calò
↦ F. Zuccon
56′
🔁 B. Cimino
↦ A. Rispoli
58′
🟨 Baldovino Cimino
Giuseppe Sibilli 🟨
69′
74′
🔁 F. Sgarbi
↦ A. Fontanarosa
M. Aramu 🔁
↦ I. Achik
75′
N. Bellomo 🔁
↦ M. Maita
76′
81′
🟨 Mateusz Praszelik
G. Acampora 🔁
↦ M. Edjouma
83′
J. Ménez 🔁
↦ M. Nasti
84′
84′
🔁 V. Crespi
↦ G. Tutino
93′
🟨 Mateusz Praszelik
93′
🟥 Mateusz Praszelik
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Bari

4-3-3
22 Brenno G
93 M. Dorval D
6 V. Di Cesare D
23 F. Vicari D
31 G. Ricci D
24 M. Edjouma M
8 Ahmad Benali M
4 M. Maita M
11 I. Achik F
9 M. Nasti F
20 G. Sibilli F
Bench (12)
21 Ž. Žužek
49 M. Aramu
10 N. Bellomo
44 G. Acampora
7 J. Ménez
19 F. Faggi
77 G. Morachioli
5 E. Matino
74 M. Ahmetaj
38 M. Pissardo
99 G. Frabotta
25 R. Pucino

Coach: P. Marino

Cosenza

3-5-2
1 A. Micai G
13 A. Meroni D
23 M. Venturi D
6 A. Fontanarosa D
3 A. Rispoli M
98 F. Zuccon M
26 M. Praszelik M
34 A. Florenzi M
27 P. Martino M
9 G. Tutino F
30 S. Mazzocchi F
Bench (12)
42 I. Voca
14 G. Calò
17 B. Cimino
2 F. Sgarbi
19 V. Crespi
21 M. Zilli
20 A. Arioli
11 T. D'Orazio
33 D. La Vardera
10 F. Forte
77 L. Marson
24 M. Viviani

Coach: F. Caserta

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,14
U ✓
3,10
B
3,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Gualtieri · 26 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.