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Serie B
Referee: D Di Marco
Cosenza
T T T U U
1–2
Full-time
Como
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Como
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,5
Scored
0,5
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 39%
28%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
39%
50%
Both score Ø 45%
39%
50%
Average goals
2,1
2,4
Scored
1,0
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

46% Possession 54%
4 Shots 10
2 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 0
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
6 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cosenza 13. · Como 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 18 11 5 2 +18 38
2 Venezia 18 10 4 4 +11 34
3 Cremonese 18 9 5 4 +13 32
4 Cittadella 18 9 5 4 +5 32
5 Como 18 9 5 4 +3 32
6 Catanzaro 19 9 3 7 +4 30
7 Palermo 18 8 5 5 +8 29
8 Modena 18 7 6 5 -3 27
9 Brescia 18 6 7 5 +2 25
10 Sampdoria 18 7 3 8 -1 24
11 Reggiana 19 5 8 6 -3 23
12 Bari 18 4 10 4 -2 22
13 Cosenza 18 5 6 7 -1 21
14 Pisa 18 5 6 7 -3 21
15 Sudtirol 18 5 5 8 -1 20
16 Ternana 18 4 5 9 -4 17
17 Lecco 18 4 5 9 -10 17
18 Ascoli 18 4 4 10 -7 16
19 Spezia 18 3 7 8 -11 16
20 FeralpiSalo 18 3 4 11 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cosenza Como
-5′
🟨 Fabio Rispoli
1–0 G. Tutino
I. Voca
23′
Alessandro Micai 🟨
30′
39′
P. Cutrone 1–1
A. Bellemo
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 M. Mustapha
↦ A. Iovine
Alessandro Fontanarosa 🟨
48′
50′
S. Verdi 1–2
P. Cutrone
F. Zuccon 🔁
↦ M. Viviani
55′
T. D'Orazio 🔁
↦ F. Sgarbi
55′
Gennaro Tutino ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
56′
F. Forte 🔁
↦ S. Mazzocchi
60′
M. Marras 🔁
↦ P. Martino
69′
A. Rispoli 🔁
↦ B. Cimino
69′
75′
🔁 M. Chajia
↦ A. Gabrielloni
Tommaso D'Orazio 🟨
84′
85′
🔁 T. Arrigoni
↦ S. Verdi
88′
🟨 Tommaso Arrigoni
92′
🔁 T. Cassandro
↦ P. Cutrone
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Cosenza

3-5-2
1 A. Micai G
2 F. Sgarbi D
23 M. Venturi D
6 A. Fontanarosa D
17 B. Cimino M
24 M. Viviani M
14 G. Calò M
42 I. Voca M
27 P. Martino M
30 S. Mazzocchi F
9 G. Tutino F
Bench (12)
98 F. Zuccon
11 T. D'Orazio
10 F. Forte
7 M. Marras
3 A. Rispoli
33 D. La Vardera
13 A. Meroni
19 V. Crespi
21 M. Zilli
77 L. Marson
20 A. Arioli
12 A. Lai

Coach: F. Caserta

Como

4-2-3-1
1 A. Šemper G
80 L. Vignali D
26 C. Odenthal D
93 F. Barba D
3 M. Sala D
28 O. Abildgaard M
14 A. Bellemo M
6 A. Iovine M
90 S. Verdi M
10 P. Cutrone M
9 A. Gabrielloni F
Bench (11)
99 M. Mustapha
7 M. Chajia
21 T. Arrigoni
84 T. Cassandro
18 G. Mazzaglia
34 D. Ronco
32 F. Rispoli
8 D. Baselli
4 M. Solini
11 Álex Blanco
22 M. Vigorito

Coach: O. Roberts

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,71
U
3,11
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Di Marco · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.