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Serie B
Referee: A Giua
Cremonese
S S S S U
1–0
Full-time
Venezia
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Venezia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,8
Conceded
0,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+1,2
This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 57%
47%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
53%
60%
Both score Ø 50%
47%
53%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
1,4
1,7
Conceded
0,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
9 Shots 13
2 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cremonese 5. · Venezia 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 15 10 3 2 +16 33
2 Venezia 15 10 3 2 +13 33
3 Como 15 8 4 3 +4 28
4 Catanzaro 15 8 3 4 +5 27
5 Cremonese 15 7 5 3 +9 26
6 Modena 15 7 5 3 +2 26
7 Cittadella 15 7 4 4 +0 25
8 Palermo 15 7 3 5 +7 24
9 Cosenza 15 5 4 6 +1 19
10 Brescia 15 4 6 5 -1 18
11 Pisa 15 4 6 5 -1 18
12 Bari 15 3 9 3 -2 18
13 Sampdoria 15 5 3 7 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 15 4 5 6 +0 17
15 Reggiana 15 3 7 5 -4 16
16 Lecco 15 4 4 7 -7 16
17 Ascoli 15 3 4 8 -6 13
18 Ternana 15 2 5 8 -4 11
19 Spezia 15 1 7 7 -10 10
20 FeralpiSalo 15 1 4 10 -19 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cremonese Venezia
Massimo Coda ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
23′
Žan Majer 🟨
34′
36′
🟨 Giorgio Altare
Half-time 0–0
Valentin Antov ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
50′
Valentin Antov 🟥
51′
C. Buonaiuto 🔁
↦ Ž. Majer
61′
D. Okereke 🔁
↦ M. Coda
61′
64′
🔁 M. Šverko
↦ M. Modolo
64′
🔁 M. Ellertsson
↦ M. Jajalo
78′
🔁 A. Dembélé
↦ F. Zampano
78′
🔁 M. Kofod Andersen
↦ G. Busio
78′
🔁 D. Cheryshev
↦ N. Pierini
1–0 L. Ravanelli
F. Vázquez
80′
C. Pickel 🔁
↦ F. Vázquez
83′
Michele Castagnetti 🟨
85′
Charles Pickel 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Ali Dembele
Matteo Bianchetti 🟨
94′
P. Ghiglione 🔁
↦ M. Collocolo
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
26 V. Antov D
5 L. Ravanelli D
15 M. Bianchetti D
17 L. Sernicola M
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
37 Ž. Majer M
33 G. Quagliata M
90 M. Coda F
20 F. Vázquez F
Bench (12)
10 C. Buonaiuto
77 D. Okereke
6 C. Pickel
18 P. Ghiglione
9 D. Ciofani
11 F. Afena-Gyan
21 G. Saro
13 A. Tuia
31 Y. Rocchetti
44 L. Lochoshvili
32 G. Abrego
14 L. Valzania

Coach: G. Stroppa

Venezia

4-3-3
12 Bruno G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
13 M. Modolo D
7 F. Zampano D
8 T. Tessmann M
18 M. Jajalo M
6 G. Busio M
10 N. Pierini F
9 C. Gytkjær F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (11)
33 M. Šverko
77 M. Ellertsson
25 A. Dembélé
38 M. Kofod Andersen
21 D. Cheryshev
31 M. Ullmann
28 H. Mikaelsson
24 N. Lella
85 G. Pürg
19 B. Bjarkason
23 M. Grandi

Coach: P. Vanoli

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,93
U
3,53
B
3,82
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,87
U2,5 ✓
1,90
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Giua · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.