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Super League
Referee: A Tsakalidis
PAOK
S S S T T
4–0
Full-time
Giannina
U T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PAOK Giannina
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
4,5
2,3
Scored
3,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 19/18 matches
Win Ø 37%
63%
11%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
74%
44%
Both score Ø 46%
42%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
2,4
0,9
Conceded
0,8
1,6
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

73% Possession 27%
22 Shots 4
10 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 7
9 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match PAOK 3. · Giannina 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 18 12 5 1 +19 41
2 Panathinaikos 18 13 1 4 +31 40
3 PAOK 19 12 3 4 +30 39
4 Olympiakos 19 12 3 4 +24 39
5 Aris Thessalonikis 18 9 3 6 +8 30
6 Aris 18 9 3 6 +8 30
7 Asteras Tripolis 20 9 2 9 -5 29
8 Atromitos 19 6 8 5 -3 26
9 Lamia 20 6 7 7 -10 25
10 OFI Crete 20 4 8 8 -13 20
11 Panserraikos 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Volos NFC 19 3 5 11 -19 14
13 Panetolikos 20 3 5 12 -23 14
14 Kifisia 19 2 7 10 -22 13
15 Giannina 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

PAOK Giannina
1–0 A. Baba
29′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 S. Meïté
49′
3–0 S. Tzimas
Joan Sastre
53′
62′
🔁 C. Bălan
↦ Pedro Conde
62′
🔁 K. Rosero
↦ J. Leo
3–1 D. Rienstra
own goal
66′
Brandon Thomas 🔁
↦ S. Tzimas
67′
A. Živković 🔁
↦ K. Despodov
68′
G. Konstantelias 🔁
↦ T. Murg
68′
71′
🔁 A. Liasos
↦ M. Bakadimas
72′
🔁 J. Efford
↦ Z. Karachalios
Marcos Antônio 🔁
↦ M. Ozdoev
73′
L. Lyratzis 🔁
↦ Joan Sastre
79′
88′
🔁 K. Panagou
↦ Carles Soria
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
23 Joan Sastre D
16 T. Kędziora D
4 K. Koulierakis D
21 A. Baba D
27 M. Ozdoev M
8 S. Meïté M
77 K. Despodov M
10 T. Murg M
11 Taison M
95 S. Tzimas F
Bench (9)
71 Brandon Thomas
14 A. Živković
7 G. Konstantelias
88 Marcos Antônio
19 L. Lyratzis
18 Ž. Živković
22 S. Schwab
5 G. Michailidis
55 Rafa Soares

Coach: R. Lucescu

Giannina

5-3-2
55 B. Klaiman G
2 Carles Soria D
4 E. Pantelakis D
15 R. Erramuspe D
45 M. Bakadimas D
30 G. Kiakos D
7 F. Gino M
5 Z. Karachalios M
23 D. Rienstra M
17 J. Leo F
9 Pedro Conde F
Bench (9)
91 C. Bălan
11 K. Rosero
80 A. Liasos
28 J. Efford
24 K. Panagou
70 I. Kyrkos
46 M. Begala
99 V. Athanasiou
25 G. Bortagaray

Coach: M. Grigoriou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,16
U
6,89
B
14,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,53
U2,5
2,41
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Tsakalidis · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
30,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.