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Serie B

Referee: F Fourneau

Parma

U U U S S

1–1

Full-time

Ascoli

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Ascoli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

1,8

Scored

1,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches

Win Ø 42%

63%

21%

Points per game

2,2

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

53%

37%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%

19 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 3

8 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 1

2 Offside 4

16 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Parma 1. · Ascoli 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	19	12	5	2	+20	41
2	Como	20	11	5	4	+8	38
3	Cittadella	20	10	6	4	+7	36
4	Venezia	19	10	5	4	+11	35
5	Catanzaro	20	10	3	7	+6	33
6	Cremonese	19	9	5	5	+12	32
7	Palermo	20	9	5	6	+7	32
8	Brescia	20	7	7	6	+1	28
9	Modena	20	7	7	6	-4	28
10	Bari	20	5	11	4	+0	26
11	Sampdoria	19	7	4	8	-1	25
12	Reggiana	20	5	9	6	-3	24
13	Sudtirol	20	6	5	9	-1	23
14	Pisa	20	5	8	7	-3	23
15	Cosenza	19	5	6	8	-2	21
16	Lecco	20	5	5	10	-11	20
17	Ternana	20	4	6	10	-6	18
18	Ascoli	19	4	5	10	-7	17
19	Spezia	20	3	8	9	-15	17
20	FeralpiSalo	20	3	5	12	-19	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	11	7	2	2	+7	23
2	Parma	10	6	4	0	+10	22
3	Como	10	6	3	1	+7	21
4	Venezia	10	6	2	2	+6	20
5	Catanzaro	10	6	1	3	+6	19
6	Palermo	10	5	1	4	+3	16
7	Cremonese	10	4	3	3	+6	15
8	Bari	10	3	6	1	+1	15
9	Modena	10	4	2	4	-2	14
10	Sampdoria	10	4	1	5	+0	13
11	Cosenza	10	3	3	4	+3	12
12	Sudtirol	10	3	3	4	+1	12
13	Reggiana	10	2	6	2	-1	12
14	Brescia	10	3	3	4	-2	12
15	Ascoli	9	3	2	4	+1	11
16	Pisa	10	2	5	3	-1	11
17	Ternana	10	2	4	4	+0	10
18	Lecco	9	3	1	5	-4	10
19	Spezia	9	1	5	3	-2	8
20	FeralpiSalo	9	1	3	5	-7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	9	6	1	2	+10	19
2	Cremonese	9	5	2	2	+6	17
3	Como	10	5	2	3	+1	17
4	Palermo	10	4	4	2	+4	16
5	Brescia	10	4	4	2	+3	16
6	Venezia	9	4	3	2	+5	15
7	Catanzaro	10	4	2	4	+0	14
8	Modena	10	3	5	2	-2	14
9	Cittadella	9	3	4	2	+0	13
10	Sampdoria	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Reggiana	10	3	3	4	-2	12
12	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-2	12
13	Bari	10	2	5	3	-1	11
14	Sudtirol	10	3	2	5	-2	11
15	Lecco	11	2	4	5	-7	10
16	Cosenza	9	2	3	4	-5	9
17	Spezia	11	2	3	6	-13	9
18	Ternana	10	2	2	6	-6	8
19	FeralpiSalo	11	2	2	7	-12	8
20	Ascoli	10	1	3	6	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.