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Super League
Panetolikos
S U U S T
0–4
Full-time
Aris
T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panetolikos Aris
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Super League · 18/17 matches
Win Ø 32%
17%
47%
Points per game
0,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
61%
47%
Both score Ø 46%
44%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

13 Shots 15
4 Shots on target 7
4 Corners 6
15 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panetolikos 12. · Aris 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 AEK 18 12 5 1 +19 41
2 Panathinaikos 18 13 1 4 +31 40
3 PAOK 19 12 3 4 +30 39
4 Olympiakos 18 11 3 4 +23 36
5 Aris Thessalonikis 17 8 3 6 +4 27
6 Aris 17 8 3 6 +4 27
7 Atromitos 19 6 8 5 -3 26
8 Asteras Tripolis 19 8 2 9 -6 26
9 Lamia 20 6 7 7 -10 25
10 OFI Crete 20 4 8 8 -13 20
11 Panserraikos 19 4 6 9 -12 18
12 Panetolikos 18 3 5 10 -15 14
13 Volos NFC 18 3 5 10 -18 14
14 Kifisia 18 2 7 9 -21 13
15 Giannina 18 2 6 10 -13 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,62
U
3,14
B ✓
2,68
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,24
U2,5
1,62
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.