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Serie B
Referee: M Monaldi
FeralpiSalo
U U T T T
1–0
Full-time
Cremonese
S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FeralpiSalo Cremonese
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,0
1,8
Scored
1,0
1,7
Conceded
2,0
0,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,5
This season — Serie B · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 28%
6%
50%
Points per game
0,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
56%
50%
Both score Ø 47%
50%
44%
Average goals
2,6
2,1
Scored
0,7
1,4
Conceded
1,9
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,6
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%
7 Shots 18
4 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 2
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 12
0 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FeralpiSalo 20. · Cremonese 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 16 10 4 2 +16 34
2 Venezia 16 10 3 3 +12 33
3 Como 16 9 4 3 +5 31
4 Catanzaro 16 9 3 4 +7 30
5 Cremonese 16 8 5 3 +10 29
6 Cittadella 16 8 4 4 +2 28
7 Modena 16 7 5 4 +1 26
8 Palermo 16 7 4 5 +7 25
9 Sampdoria 16 6 3 7 -1 21
10 Bari 17 4 9 4 -2 21
11 Cosenza 16 5 4 7 -1 19
12 Brescia 16 4 7 5 -1 19
13 Pisa 16 4 6 6 -3 18
14 Sudtirol 16 4 5 7 -1 17
15 Reggiana 16 3 8 5 -4 17
16 Spezia 17 3 7 7 -8 16
17 Lecco 16 4 4 8 -9 16
18 Ternana 16 3 5 8 -3 14
19 Ascoli 16 3 4 9 -7 13
20 FeralpiSalo 16 1 4 11 -20 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FeralpiSalo Cremonese
22′
🟨 David Okereke
1–0 C. Kourfalidis
28′
35′
🟨 Leonardo Sernicola
44′
🔁 G. Quagliata
↦ L. Zanimacchia
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 M. Coda
↦ Ž. Majer
54′
🟨 Luka Lochoshvili
M. Zennaro 🔁
↦ C. Kourfalidis
63′
63′
🔁 D. Ciofani
↦ D. Okereke
D. Hergheligiu 🔁
↦ M. Compagnon
69′
75′
🔁 F. Afena-Gyan
↦ A. Tuia
75′
🔁 C. Buonaiuto
↦ M. Collocolo
A. Pietrelli 🔁
↦ D. Di Molfetta
82′
A. La Mantia 🔁
↦ K. Butić
82′
88′
🟨 Giacomo Quagliata
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FeralpiSalo

3-5-2
1 S. Pizzignacco G
8 D. Balestrero D
23 L. Ceppitelli D
87 B. Martella D
66 F. Bergonzi M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
16 L. Fiordilino M
10 D. Di Molfetta M
97 M. Felici M
14 M. Compagnon F
9 K. Butić F
Bench (11)
20 M. Zennaro
27 D. Hergheligiu
99 A. Pietrelli
91 A. La Mantia
3 M. Tonetto
6 L. Bacchetti
70 V. Parigini
61 G. Volpe
34 S. Minelli
25 M. Sau
29 M. Verzelletti

Coach: M. Zaffaroni

Cremonese

3-5-2
22 A. Jungdal G
13 A. Tuia D
5 L. Ravanelli D
44 L. Lochoshvili D
17 L. Sernicola M
8 M. Collocolo M
19 M. Castagnetti M
37 Ž. Majer M
98 L. Zanimacchia M
20 F. Vázquez F
77 D. Okereke F
Bench (12)
33 G. Quagliata
90 M. Coda
9 D. Ciofani
11 F. Afena-Gyan
10 C. Buonaiuto
21 G. Saro
18 P. Ghiglione
91 A. Bertolacci
6 C. Pickel
14 L. Valzania
32 G. Abrego
31 Y. Rocchetti

Coach: G. Stroppa

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
5,24
U
3,83
B
1,64
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,93
U2,5 ✓
1,84
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Monaldi · 31 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.