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Super League

Referee: M Al Hakim

AEK

T U U S S

2–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

T T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Super League · 18/18 matches

Win Ø 70%

67%

72%

Points per game

2,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

56%

72%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,6

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%

17 Shots 8

4 Shots on target 2

7 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 1. · Panathinaikos 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	AEK	18	12	5	1	+19	41
2	Panathinaikos	18	13	1	4	+31	40
3	PAOK	19	12	3	4	+30	39
4	Olympiakos	19	12	3	4	+24	39
5	Aris Thessalonikis	18	9	3	6	+8	30
6	Aris	18	9	3	6	+8	30
7	Asteras Tripolis	20	9	2	9	-5	29
8	Atromitos	19	6	8	5	-3	26
9	Lamia	20	6	7	7	-10	25
10	OFI Crete	20	4	8	8	-13	20
11	Panserraikos	19	4	6	9	-12	18
12	Volos NFC	19	3	5	11	-19	14
13	Panetolikos	20	3	5	12	-23	14
14	Kifisia	19	2	7	10	-22	13
15	Giannina	18	2	6	10	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	PAOK	10	8	2	0	+22	26
2	AEK	9	7	2	0	+14	23
3	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+9	23
4	Aris	10	7	2	1	+9	23
5	Olympiakos	10	7	0	3	+16	21
6	Panathinaikos	8	6	1	1	+19	19
7	Lamia	10	5	2	3	+1	17
8	OFI Crete	10	4	4	2	+1	16
9	Asteras Tripolis	11	5	1	5	-5	16
10	Atromitos	9	3	6	0	+5	15
11	Panserraikos	7	3	3	1	+3	12
12	Panetolikos	10	3	3	4	-8	12
13	Kifisia	10	2	4	4	-7	10
14	Giannina	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Volos NFC	10	2	2	6	-8	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Panathinaikos	10	7	0	3	+12	21
2	Olympiakos	9	5	3	1	+8	18
3	AEK	9	5	3	1	+5	18
4	PAOK	9	4	1	4	+8	13
5	Asteras Tripolis	9	4	1	4	+0	13
6	Atromitos	10	3	2	5	-8	11
7	Lamia	10	1	5	4	-11	8
8	Aris Thessalonikis	8	2	1	5	-1	7
9	Aris	8	2	1	5	-1	7
10	Volos NFC	9	1	3	5	-11	6
11	Panserraikos	12	1	3	8	-15	6
12	Giannina	10	0	4	6	-10	4
13	OFI Crete	10	0	4	6	-14	4
14	Kifisia	9	0	3	6	-15	3
15	Panetolikos	10	0	2	8	-15	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.