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Süper Lig
Referee: T Numanoğlu
Gaziantep
T U S U U
0–1
Full-time
Fenerbahce
S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Fenerbahce
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
1,0
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,8
Scored
1,7
3,8
Conceded
1,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+2,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 58%
32%
84%
Points per game
1,1
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
53%
68%
Both score Ø 45%
37%
53%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,2
2,9
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+2,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,54 xG 2,14
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 20
4 Shots on target 6
0 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 15. · Fenerbahce 1.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Fenerbahce 19 16 2 1 +40 +34.9 50
2 Galatasaray 19 15 3 1 +26 +25.9 48
3 Trabzonspor 20 11 4 5 +13 -1.6 37
4 Besiktas 20 11 2 7 +7 +7.8 35
5 Rizespor 20 9 5 6 -2 -2.8 32
6 Ad. Demirspor 20 7 8 5 +8 -1.3 29
7 Antalyaspor 20 7 8 5 +5 +1.2 29
8 Kayserispor 19 8 5 6 -1 -3.5 29
9 Buyuksehyr 20 7 5 8 +1 -2.5 26
10 Kasimpasa 20 7 5 8 -7 -7.5 26
11 Sivasspor 20 6 7 7 -7 -3.3 25
12 Ankaragücü 20 5 9 6 +1 -2.8 24
13 Alanyaspor 20 5 7 8 -8 +0.2 22
14 Hatayspor 20 4 9 7 -1 +2.6 21
15 Gaziantep 19 6 3 10 -7 -7.1 21
16 Samsunspor 20 6 3 11 -8 +4.9 21
17 Karagumruk 20 5 5 10 -1 -9.6 20
18 Konyaspor 20 4 7 9 -13 -11.0 19
19 Pendikspor 20 3 7 10 -22 -8.2 16
20 İstanbulspor 20 2 4 14 -24 -16.4 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Fenerbahce
Arda Kızıldağ 🟨
35′
38′
🔁 L. Bonucci
↦ S. Aziz
Half-time 0–0
Lazar Marković 🟨
49′
64′
🔁 M. Batshuayi
↦ İ. Yüksek
64′
🔁 İ. Kahveci
↦ C. Ünder
65′
🟨 Michy Batshuayi
B. Riascos 🔁
↦ L. Marković
70′
M. Jevtović 🔁
↦ F. Soyalp
78′
79′
🔁 J. King
↦ D. Tadić
81′
İ. Kahveci 0–1
S. Szymański
O. Çağlayan 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
88′
Brayan Riascos 🟨
96′
96′
🟨 İrfan Can Kahveci
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Gaziantep

5-4-1
33 F. Niţă G
11 M. Eskihellaç D
4 A. Kızıldağ D
63 N. Nkoulou D
3 P. Djilobodji D
22 S. M'Bakata D
50 L. Marković M
5 F. Soyalp M
61 O. Özçiçek M
44 A. Maxim M
70 D. Drăguş F
Bench (10)
94 B. Riascos
8 M. Jevtović
23 O. Çağlayan
15 E. Ersoy
91 B. Gölgeli
9 İ. Karakaş
26 M. Cihan
19 B. Şen
13 Júnior Morais
27 Ö. Artan

Coach: M. Şumudică

Fenerbahce

4-2-3-1
40 D. Livaković G
16 M. Müldür D
4 S. Aziz D
24 J. Oosterwolde D
7 F. Kadıoğlu D
5 İ. Yüksek M
35 Fred M
20 C. Ünder M
53 S. Szymański M
10 D. Tadić M
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (10)
19 L. Bonucci
23 M. Batshuayi
17 İ. Kahveci
15 J. King
8 M. Yandaş
70 İ. Eğribayat
11 R. Kent
99 E. Mor
28 B. Elmaz
18 Lincoln

Coach: İ. Kartal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,13
U
5,24
B ✓
1,33
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,57
U2,5 ✓
2,39
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Numanoğlu · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.