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Serie B
Referee: F Dionisi
Venezia
S T T U U
5–3
Full-time
Sampdoria
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Sampdoria
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,5
3,2
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
53%
37%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
63%
47%
Both score Ø 63%
58%
68%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

56% Possession 44%
17 Shots 7
8 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
1 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Venezia 4. · Sampdoria 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Parma 19 12 5 2 +20 41
2 Como 20 11 5 4 +8 38
3 Cittadella 20 10 6 4 +7 36
4 Venezia 19 10 5 4 +11 35
5 Catanzaro 20 10 3 7 +6 33
6 Cremonese 19 9 5 5 +12 32
7 Palermo 20 9 5 6 +7 32
8 Brescia 20 7 7 6 +1 28
9 Modena 20 7 7 6 -4 28
10 Bari 20 5 11 4 +0 26
11 Sampdoria 19 7 4 8 -1 25
12 Reggiana 20 5 9 6 -3 24
13 Sudtirol 20 6 5 9 -1 23
14 Pisa 20 5 8 7 -3 23
15 Cosenza 19 5 6 8 -2 21
16 Lecco 20 5 5 10 -11 20
17 Ternana 20 4 6 10 -6 18
18 Ascoli 19 4 5 10 -7 17
19 Spezia 20 3 8 9 -15 17
20 FeralpiSalo 20 3 5 12 -19 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Venezia Sampdoria
-5′
🟨 Antonino La Gumina
Nunzio Lella 🟨
3′
1–0 J. Pohjanpalo
N. Pierini
16′
30′
L. Benedetti 1–1
Gerard Yepes
2–1 J. Pohjanpalo
36′
41′
🟨 Leonardo Benedetti
43′
🟨 Valerio Verre
44′
🟨 Leonardo Benedetti
44′
🟥 Leonardo Benedetti
Half-time 2–1
M. Ellertsson 🔁
↦ N. Lella
46′
Marin Šverko 🟨
48′
3–1 J. Pohjanpalo
D. Johnsen
58′
64′
🔁 A. Barreca
↦ V. Verre
65′
M. De Luca 3–2
F. Depaoli
Dennis Johnsen 🟨
68′
71′
F. Depaoli 3–3
M. Ricci
4–3 G. Busio
74′
5–3 M. Ellertsson
77′
C. Gytkjær 🔁
↦ J. Pohjanpalo
81′
A. Dembélé 🔁
↦ G. Altare
81′
M. Svoboda 🔁
↦ N. Pierini
81′
84′
🔁 A. La Gumina
↦ M. De Luca
84′
🔁 S. Panada
↦ Gerard Yepes
M. Olivieri 🔁
↦ D. Johnsen
86′
Full-time 5–3

Line-ups

Venezia

4-3-3
1 J. Joronen G
27 A. Candela D
15 G. Altare D
33 M. Šverko D
7 F. Zampano D
24 N. Lella M
8 T. Tessmann M
6 G. Busio M
10 N. Pierini F
20 J. Pohjanpalo F
17 D. Johnsen F
Bench (12)
77 M. Ellertsson
9 C. Gytkjær
25 A. Dembélé
30 M. Svoboda
99 M. Olivieri
12 Bruno
23 M. Grandi
19 B. Bjarkason
21 D. Cheryshev
38 M. Kofod Andersen
31 M. Ullmann
13 M. Modolo

Coach: P. Vanoli

Sampdoria

4-3-2-1
1 F. Stanković G
40 P. Stojanović D
87 D. Ghilardi D
29 N. Murru D
21 S. Giordano D
23 F. Depaoli M
28 Gerard Yepes M
8 M. Ricci M
80 L. Benedetti M
10 V. Verre M
9 M. De Luca F
Bench (12)
3 A. Barreca
20 A. La Gumina
6 S. Panada
22 N. Ravaglia
15 A. Lötjönen
39 F. Conti
17 L. Malagrida
77 M. Delle Monache
44 S. Leonardi
32 S. Girelli
43 S. Ntanda
5 K. Askildsen

Coach: A. Pirlo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,15
U
3,27
B
3,38
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,12
U2,5
1,69
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Dionisi · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
29,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.