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Serie B

Referee: D Di Marco

Como

S S U T T

1–0

Full-time

Catanzaro

U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Como Catanzaro

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Serie B · 9/10 matches

Win Ø 52%

44%

60%

Points per game

1,6

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 69%

67%

70%

Both score Ø 53%

56%

50%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

38% Possession 62%

15 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 1

4 Corners 4

1 Offside 4

6 Free kicks against 21

4 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Como 8. · Catanzaro 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	10	7	2	1	+12	23
2	Catanzaro	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Palermo	9	6	2	1	+10	20
4	Venezia	10	5	3	2	+5	18
5	Cremonese	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Modena	10	4	4	2	+1	16
7	Cosenza	10	4	2	4	+3	14
8	Como	9	4	2	3	+0	14
9	Sudtirol	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Brescia	8	3	4	1	+3	13
11	Cittadella	11	3	4	4	-4	13
12	Ascoli	10	3	3	4	+0	12
13	Pisa	10	3	3	4	-1	12
14	Bari	10	1	8	1	+0	11
15	Reggiana	10	2	5	3	-4	11
16	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-3	9
17	Spezia	9	1	4	4	-5	7
18	Ternana	10	1	3	6	-4	6
19	FeralpiSalo	10	1	2	7	-14	5
20	Lecco	8	1	1	6	-9	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	6	4	2	0	+6	14
2	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+3	10
3	Catanzaro	5	3	1	1	+2	10
4	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-2	8
5	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	+4	7
6	Ascoli	4	2	1	1	+4	7
7	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Como	4	2	1	1	+0	7
9	Modena	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	Brescia	5	1	3	1	+0	6
11	Reggiana	5	1	3	1	-1	6
12	Sudtirol	4	1	2	1	+1	5
13	Ternana	6	1	2	3	+0	5
14	Bari	5	0	5	0	+0	5
15	Pisa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
16	Sampdoria	5	1	0	4	-3	3
17	Cremonese	6	0	3	3	-3	3
18	Spezia	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	FeralpiSalo	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Lecco	4	0	0	4	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palermo	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Cremonese	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Catanzaro	5	3	2	0	+3	11
4	Parma	4	3	0	1	+6	9
5	Modena	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Sudtirol	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Venezia	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Pisa	5	2	2	1	+1	8
9	Brescia	3	2	1	0	+3	7
10	Como	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Cosenza	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Sampdoria	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Bari	5	1	3	1	+0	6
14	Cittadella	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Spezia	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Reggiana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
17	Ascoli	6	1	2	3	-4	5
18	Lecco	4	1	1	2	-3	4
19	FeralpiSalo	6	1	1	4	-10	4
20	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-4	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.