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Serie B

Referee: A Giua

Sampdoria

S T T S S

2–1

Full-time

Spezia

U U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sampdoria Spezia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,7

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — Serie B · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 20%

31%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

38%

54%

Both score Ø 50%

62%

38%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,1

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

19 Free kicks against 19

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sampdoria 13. · Spezia 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	13	9	2	2	+15	29
2	Venezia	13	8	3	2	+8	27
3	Palermo	13	7	2	4	+8	23
4	Cremonese	13	6	4	3	+8	22
5	Modena	13	6	4	3	+1	22
6	Catanzaro	13	6	3	4	+2	21
7	Como	12	6	3	3	+2	21
8	Cosenza	13	5	4	4	+5	19
9	Cittadella	13	5	4	4	-2	19
10	Bari	13	3	9	1	+2	18
11	Sudtirol	12	4	4	4	+2	16
12	Pisa	13	4	4	5	-1	16
13	Sampdoria	13	4	3	6	-2	15
14	Reggiana	13	3	6	4	-3	15
15	Brescia	12	3	4	5	-3	13
16	Ascoli	13	3	3	7	-4	12
17	Lecco	12	3	3	6	-7	12
18	Spezia	13	1	7	5	-8	10
19	Ternana	13	1	4	8	-6	7
20	FeralpiSalo	13	1	4	8	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Parma	7	5	2	0	+8	17
2	Venezia	7	5	1	1	+5	16
3	Cosenza	7	3	2	2	+6	11
4	Cittadella	7	3	2	2	-1	11
5	Palermo	7	3	1	3	+2	10
6	Catanzaro	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Como	5	3	1	1	+1	10
8	Modena	7	3	1	3	-2	10
9	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+2	8
10	Bari	6	1	5	0	+1	8
11	Ascoli	6	2	1	3	+1	7
12	Reggiana	6	1	4	1	-1	7
13	Cremonese	7	1	3	3	+0	6
14	Sampdoria	6	2	0	4	-2	6
15	Brescia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
16	Ternana	7	1	2	4	-1	5
17	Pisa	6	1	2	3	-2	5
18	Spezia	6	0	4	2	-2	4
19	Lecco	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	FeralpiSalo	6	0	2	4	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	6	5	1	0	+8	16
2	Palermo	6	4	1	1	+6	13
3	Parma	6	4	0	2	+7	12
4	Modena	6	3	3	0	+3	12
5	Venezia	6	3	2	1	+3	11
6	Catanzaro	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Como	7	3	2	2	+1	11
8	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+1	11
9	Bari	7	2	4	1	+1	10
10	Sampdoria	7	2	3	2	+0	9
11	Sudtirol	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Cittadella	6	2	2	2	-1	8
13	Cosenza	6	2	2	2	-1	8
14	Reggiana	7	2	2	3	-2	8
15	Lecco	6	2	2	2	-2	8
16	Brescia	5	2	1	2	+1	7
17	Spezia	7	1	3	3	-6	6
18	Ascoli	7	1	2	4	-5	5
19	FeralpiSalo	7	1	2	4	-10	5
20	Ternana	6	0	2	4	-5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.