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Serie B

Cremonese

S T S S U

2–1

Full-time

Alessandria

U T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cremonese Alessandria

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,3

0,5

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,5

This season — Serie B · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

53%

19%

Points per game

1,9

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

44%

Both score Ø 50%

53%

47%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,5

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 13

6 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 2

20 Free kicks against 11

4 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cremonese 1. · Alessandria 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cremonese	32	17	9	6	+18	60
2	Lecce	32	15	14	3	+23	59
3	Pisa	32	16	10	6	+12	58
4	Monza	32	16	9	7	+19	57
5	Brescia	32	15	12	5	+17	57
6	Benevento	31	15	9	7	+22	54
7	Ascoli	32	15	7	10	+5	52
8	Frosinone	32	13	12	7	+15	51
9	Perugia	32	11	14	7	+6	47
10	Cittadella	32	11	11	10	+2	44
11	Ternana	32	12	8	12	+0	44
12	Como	32	10	14	8	-1	44
13	Reggina	32	12	8	12	-8	44
14	Parma	32	9	15	8	+6	42
15	Spal	32	7	12	13	-11	33
16	Alessandria	32	6	8	18	-23	26
17	Vicenza	32	6	6	20	-23	24
18	Cosenza	31	5	9	17	-23	24
19	Crotone	32	3	11	18	-20	20
20	Pordenone	32	2	8	22	-36	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	16	11	3	2	+18	36
2	Lecce	16	10	5	1	+19	35
3	Cremonese	16	9	6	1	+12	33
4	Pisa	16	9	6	1	+11	33
5	Benevento	16	9	4	3	+19	31
6	Frosinone	16	8	6	2	+15	30
7	Reggina	16	8	2	6	+0	26
8	Brescia	16	6	7	3	+6	25
9	Ternana	16	8	1	7	+5	25
10	Ascoli	16	6	5	5	+1	23
11	Cittadella	16	6	4	6	+4	22
12	Como	16	5	7	4	+3	22
13	Parma	16	4	8	4	+5	20
14	Perugia	16	4	7	5	+1	19
15	Cosenza	15	5	3	7	-4	18
16	Crotone	16	3	8	5	-2	17
17	Alessandria	16	4	5	7	-8	17
18	Vicenza	16	4	4	8	-4	16
19	Spal	16	3	6	7	-1	15
20	Pordenone	16	1	6	9	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	16	9	5	2	+11	32
2	Ascoli	16	9	2	5	+4	29
3	Perugia	16	7	7	2	+5	28
4	Cremonese	16	8	3	5	+6	27
5	Pisa	16	7	4	5	+1	25
6	Lecce	16	5	9	2	+4	24
7	Benevento	15	6	5	4	+3	23
8	Parma	16	5	7	4	+1	22
9	Cittadella	16	5	7	4	-2	22
10	Como	16	5	7	4	-4	22
11	Monza	16	5	6	5	+1	21
12	Frosinone	16	5	6	5	+0	21
13	Ternana	16	4	7	5	-5	19
14	Reggina	16	4	6	6	-8	18
15	Spal	16	4	6	6	-10	18
16	Alessandria	16	2	3	11	-15	9
17	Vicenza	16	2	2	12	-19	8
18	Cosenza	16	0	6	10	-19	6
19	Pordenone	16	1	2	13	-22	5
20	Crotone	16	0	3	13	-18	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.