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Serie B

Parma

T T U S S

1–2

Full-time

Cremonese

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Cremonese

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,5

0,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,0

This season — Serie B · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,3

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

2,3

1,7

Conceded

0,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

11 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

2 Corners 4

10 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 7. · Cremonese 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Brescia	4	3	1	0	+8	10
3	Cittadella	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Ascoli	4	3	0	1	+1	9
5	Frosinone	4	2	2	0	+4	8
6	Reggina	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Parma	3	2	1	0	+5	7
8	Benevento	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Cremonese	3	2	0	1	+4	6
10	Monza	4	1	3	0	+1	6
11	Perugia	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Lecce	4	1	2	1	-2	5
13	Spal	4	1	1	2	+3	4
14	Cosenza	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Crotone	4	0	3	1	-2	3
16	Como	4	0	2	2	-3	2
17	Ternana	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Alessandria	4	0	0	4	-6	0
19	Vicenza	4	0	0	4	-6	0
20	Pordenone	4	0	0	4	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cittadella	3	3	0	0	+4	9
2	Reggina	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Cremonese	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Spal	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Brescia	2	1	1	0	+4	4
7	Lecce	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Benevento	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Monza	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	Cosenza	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Parma	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Ascoli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
13	Crotone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Frosinone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Perugia	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Alessandria	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Como	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-4	0
19	Ternana	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Brescia	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Ascoli	2	2	0	0	+2	6
5	Parma	2	1	1	0	+4	4
6	Perugia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Benevento	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Como	2	0	2	0	+0	2
9	Monza	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Reggina	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Ternana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Crotone	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Lecce	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Cosenza	3	0	1	2	-5	1
15	Cremonese	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Spal	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Alessandria	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Pordenone	2	0	0	2	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.