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Serie B

Spal

T U S U T

1–0

Full-time

Cittadella

U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Spal Cittadella

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

1,3

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 38%

34%

41%

Points per game

1,4

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

34%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

45%

41%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 3

2 Corners 6

16 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Spal 8. · Cittadella 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	30	15	14	1	+29	59
2	Lecce	30	13	13	4	+22	52
3	Monza	30	13	11	6	+14	50
4	Venezia	30	13	10	7	+12	49
5	Salernitana	29	12	12	5	+4	48
6	Cittadella	29	12	9	8	+13	45
7	Chievo	29	11	10	8	+9	43
8	Spal	29	10	12	7	+2	42
9	Pisa	29	9	13	7	-1	40
10	Brescia	29	10	9	10	+0	39
11	Vicenza	30	8	14	8	+0	38
12	Frosinone	30	9	11	10	-8	38
13	Cremonese	30	9	9	12	-1	36
14	Reggina	29	9	9	11	-5	36
15	Pordenone	29	7	13	9	+0	34
16	Cosenza	30	4	17	9	-6	29
17	Reggiana	30	8	5	17	-22	29
18	Ascoli	30	6	10	14	-14	28
19	Pescara	30	5	8	17	-25	23
20	Virtus Entella	30	4	9	17	-23	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	15	8	7	0	+16	31
2	Chievo	15	8	3	4	+10	27
3	Salernitana	14	7	6	1	+10	27
4	Monza	15	7	5	3	+11	26
5	Cittadella	15	7	5	3	+9	26
6	Venezia	15	8	2	5	+6	26
7	Pisa	15	5	9	1	+4	24
8	Lecce	15	5	8	2	+9	23
9	Spal	14	6	5	3	+6	23
10	Brescia	15	6	4	5	+3	22
11	Reggina	14	6	2	6	-2	20
12	Cremonese	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Reggiana	15	5	4	6	-3	19
14	Vicenza	15	3	9	3	+0	18
15	Ascoli	15	4	5	6	-7	17
16	Pordenone	14	2	9	3	+2	15
17	Frosinone	15	3	6	6	-7	15
18	Cosenza	15	1	9	5	-5	12
19	Virtus Entella	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Pescara	15	2	4	9	-11	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lecce	15	8	5	2	+13	29
2	Empoli	15	7	7	1	+13	28
3	Monza	15	6	6	3	+3	24
4	Venezia	15	5	8	2	+6	23
5	Frosinone	15	6	5	4	-1	23
6	Salernitana	15	5	6	4	-6	21
7	Vicenza	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Cittadella	14	5	4	5	+4	19
9	Pordenone	15	5	4	6	-2	19
10	Spal	15	4	7	4	-4	19
11	Cosenza	15	3	8	4	-1	17
12	Cremonese	15	4	5	6	-2	17
13	Brescia	14	4	5	5	-3	17
14	Chievo	14	3	7	4	-1	16
15	Reggina	15	3	7	5	-3	16
16	Pisa	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Pescara	15	3	4	8	-14	13
18	Ascoli	15	2	5	8	-7	11
19	Reggiana	15	3	1	11	-19	10
20	Virtus Entella	15	1	6	8	-11	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.