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Serie B

Venezia

S U S T U

2–3

Full-time

Lecce

S U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Venezia Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,5

This season — Serie B · 28/28 matches

Win Ø 41%

43%

39%

Points per game

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 52%

39%

64%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

68%

Average goals

2,2

3,1

Scored

1,3

1,9

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

15 Shots 5

3 Shots on target 3

6 Corners 5

9 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Venezia 5. · Lecce 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	28	13	14	1	+27	53
2	Monza	28	12	11	5	+15	47
3	Salernitana	28	12	11	5	+4	47
4	Lecce	28	11	13	4	+18	46
5	Venezia	28	12	10	6	+10	46
6	Cittadella	28	12	8	8	+13	44
7	Chievo	28	11	9	8	+9	42
8	Spal	29	10	12	7	+2	42
9	Pisa	29	9	13	7	-1	40
10	Frosinone	28	9	10	9	-5	37
11	Brescia	28	9	9	10	-1	36
12	Reggina	28	9	9	10	-4	36
13	Cremonese	29	9	8	12	-1	35
14	Pordenone	28	7	13	8	+1	34
15	Vicenza	28	7	13	8	-1	34
16	Reggiana	28	8	4	16	-20	28
17	Cosenza	28	4	15	9	-6	27
18	Ascoli	28	5	9	14	-15	24
19	Pescara	28	5	8	15	-23	23
20	Virtus Entella	29	4	9	16	-22	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	14	7	6	1	+10	27
2	Chievo	14	8	2	4	+10	26
3	Venezia	14	8	2	4	+7	26
4	Empoli	13	6	7	0	+14	25
5	Cittadella	14	7	4	3	+9	25
6	Pisa	15	5	9	1	+4	24
7	Monza	13	6	5	2	+12	23
8	Lecce	15	5	8	2	+9	23
9	Spal	14	6	5	3	+6	23
10	Reggina	14	6	2	6	-2	20
11	Brescia	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Cremonese	15	5	4	6	+1	19
13	Reggiana	14	5	3	6	-3	18
14	Ascoli	14	4	4	6	-7	16
15	Pordenone	14	2	9	3	+2	15
16	Vicenza	14	2	9	3	-1	15
17	Frosinone	14	3	6	5	-4	15
18	Virtus Entella	15	3	3	9	-12	12
19	Cosenza	14	1	8	5	-5	11
20	Pescara	14	2	4	8	-10	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Empoli	15	7	7	1	+13	28
2	Monza	15	6	6	3	+3	24
3	Lecce	13	6	5	2	+9	23
4	Frosinone	14	6	4	4	-1	22
5	Venezia	14	4	8	2	+3	20
6	Salernitana	14	5	5	4	-6	20
7	Cittadella	14	5	4	5	+4	19
8	Vicenza	14	5	4	5	+0	19
9	Pordenone	14	5	4	5	-1	19
10	Spal	15	4	7	4	-4	19
11	Brescia	14	4	5	5	-3	17
12	Chievo	14	3	7	4	-1	16
13	Cosenza	14	3	7	4	-1	16
14	Cremonese	14	4	4	6	-2	16
15	Reggina	14	3	7	4	-2	16
16	Pisa	14	4	4	6	-5	16
17	Pescara	14	3	4	7	-13	13
18	Reggiana	14	3	1	10	-17	10
19	Virtus Entella	14	1	6	7	-10	9
20	Ascoli	14	1	5	8	-8	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.