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Ligue 2
Referee: Brendan Roffet
Dunkerque
T S U T S
3–0
Full-time
Red Star
T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Red Star
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 46%
27%
64%
Points per game
1,2
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
64%
45%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,4
Scored
1,7
1,5
Conceded
1,4
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%
9 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 11. · Red Star 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Troyes 11 7 3 1 +11 24
2 Red Star 11 7 2 2 +8 23
3 Pau FC 11 6 3 2 +5 21
4 St Etienne 11 6 2 3 +4 20
5 Montpellier 11 5 2 4 +2 17
6 Reims 11 4 4 3 +1 16
7 Le Mans 11 4 4 3 +1 16
8 Annecy 11 4 3 4 +2 15
9 Amiens 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Guingamp 11 4 3 4 -4 15
11 Dunkerque 11 3 4 4 +4 13
12 Rodez 11 3 4 4 -4 13
13 Clermont 11 3 4 4 -4 13
14 Nancy 11 3 3 5 -5 12
15 Grenoble 11 2 4 5 -3 10
16 Boulogne 11 3 1 7 -5 10
17 Laval 10 1 5 4 -5 8
18 Bastia 10 0 4 6 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Red Star
1–0 A. Zossou
9′
16′
🟨 Giovanni Haag
Half-time 1–0
Alec Georgen 🟨
52′
2–0 A. Sekongo
G. Kondo
61′
62′
🔁 S. E. Khaoui
↦ D. Sylla
62′
🔁 D. Durand
↦ H. Benali
3–0 M. Essimi
G. Kondo
66′
69′
🔁 G. Trani
↦ R. Hachem
F. Abner 🔁
↦ A. Zossou
72′
G. Yassine 🔁
↦ M. Essimi
72′
74′
🔁 J. Escartin
↦ B. Danger
74′
🔁 J. Kayi Sanda
↦ P. Lemonnier
76′
🟨 Josue Escartin
A. Linguet 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
79′
A. Daho 🔁
↦ A. Georgen
79′
A. Kante 🔁
↦ T. Robinet
79′
91′
🟨 Matthieu Huard
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-1-4-1
60 M. Niflore
2 A. Georgen D
26 O. Sangante D
23 V. Sasso D
21 G. Kondo D
6 P. Diong M
10 M. Essimi M
8 A. Sekongo M
20 E. Bardeli M
77 A. Zossou M
9 T. Robinet F
Bench (7)
1 M. Lavin
27 A. Linguet
30 F. Abner
18 M. Diop
80 G. Yassine
11 A. Daho
19 A. Kante

Coach: Albert Sánchez Saura

Red Star

3-4-3
16 G. Poussin G
27 B. Danger D
20 D. Durivaux D
24 P. Lemonnier D
22 D. Sylla M
81 G. Haag M
98 R. Hachem M
3 M. Huard M
11 K. Cisse F
91 K. Cabral F
29 H. Benali F
Bench (7)
1 Q. Beunardeau
5 J. Escartin
4 J. Kayi Sanda
10 S. E. Khaoui
25 G. Trani
7 D. Durand
23 J. Ikanga

Coach: Grégory Poirier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,44
U
3,20
B
2,75
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,00
U2,5
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.