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KNVB Beker
Referee: W Wiersma
Hoogeveen
S S T S S
1–0
Full-time
FC Emmen
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoogeveen FC Emmen
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 49%
80%
17%
Points per game
2,4
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
4,4
3,0
Scored
3,0
1,0
Conceded
1,4
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,6
-1,0
This season — KNVB Beker · 2/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
7,0
7,0
Scored
5,0
2,0
Conceded
2,0
5,0
Goal diff per game
+3,0
-3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Hoogeveen 1. · FC Emmen 66.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
38 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
46 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.