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KNVB Beker

Referee: N Boel

Sparta Nijkerk

S S T S S

0–2

Full-time

Almere City

T U T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Nijkerk Almere City

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

2,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

5,0

2,5

Scored

3,3

0,5

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%

15 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 8

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

8 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

14 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hoogeveen	2	2	0	0	+6	6
2	Capelle	2	2	0	0	+5	6
3	Hsc 21	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
5	Dovo	2	2	0	0	+5	6
6	Sportlust '46	2	2	0	0	+4	6
7	FC Lisse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
8	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Hoek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
10	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
11	Sparta Nijkerk	2	2	0	0	+2	6
12	Gemert	3	2	0	1	+1	6
13	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
14	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
15	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
16	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
17	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
18	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
19	Kloetinge	2	1	0	1	+2	3
20	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
21	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
23	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	UDI '19	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Roosendaal	2	1	0	1	+1	3
27	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
28	Meerssen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
29	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
30	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
31	't Zand	2	1	0	1	+0	3
32	TEC	2	1	0	1	+0	3
33	Noordwijk	2	1	0	1	+0	3
34	HZVV	2	1	0	1	-2	3
35	SVV Scheveningen	2	1	0	1	-2	3
36	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
37	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
38	Groene Ster	2	0	2	0	+0	2
39	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
40	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
41	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
42	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
43	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
44	VV Scherpenzeel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
45	Blauw Geel	2	0	1	1	-1	1
46	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
49	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
50	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
51	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
52	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
53	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
54	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
58	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
59	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
60	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
61	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
62	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
63	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
64	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
65	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
66	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
67	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
68	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
69	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
70	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
71	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
72	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
73	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
74	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0
75	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Eemdijk	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	FC Lisse	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	ROHDA Raalte	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Hoek	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Halsteren	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Koninklijke HFC	1	1	0	0	+5	3
8	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Kozakken Boys	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	De Treffers	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	Kloetinge	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Hercules	2	1	0	1	+2	3
14	't Zand	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	SVV Scheveningen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	TEC	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Gemert	2	1	0	1	+0	3
21	Den Bosch	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Heino	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	De Foresters	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Blauw Geel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	UNA	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Vvsb	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Zwaluwen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Harkemase Boys	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Ijsselmeervogels	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	UDI '19	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Meerssen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Roosendaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Aalsmeer	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	TOGB	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Walcheren	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	ADO '20	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Noordwijk	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	SteDoCo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	AWC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Juliana '31	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	FC Emmen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	Olde Veste '54	1	0	0	1	-3	0
45	HZVV	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Erp	1	0	0	1	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SC Genemuiden	2	1	1	0	+1	4
2	Excelsior Maassluis	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Dovo	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Hsc 21	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Excelsior '31	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	HZVV	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	UDI '19	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Spakenburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Noordwijk	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Roosendaal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	HHC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Meerssen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	ASWH	2	1	0	1	+1	3
14	Hoogeveen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
15	Barendrecht	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Capelle	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	DVS 33 Ermelo	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	Sparta Nijkerk	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	For Sittard	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Sportlust '46	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Gemert	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	GVVV Veenendaal	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	URK	2	1	0	1	-2	3
24	ARC	2	1	0	1	-4	3
25	Den Haag	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Groene Ster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	VV Scherpenzeel	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	VVOG	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Kloetinge	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Poortugaal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Huizen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Blauw Geel	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	TEC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Westlandia	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Rijnvogels	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	Mierlo-Hout	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	't Zand	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	ACV	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	Staphorst	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	RKAV Volendam	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Sportclub 25	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Hollandia	1	0	0	1	-3	0
43	DVO	1	0	0	1	-3	0
44	SVV Scheveningen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	GOES	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Kampong	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Dongen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
48	Velocitas	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.