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KNVB Beker
Referee: P Smeenk
4–2
Full-time
De Graafschap
S S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

GVVV Veenendaal De Graafschap
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
2,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–1

30% Possession 70%
19 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
38 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
46 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

GVVV Veenendaal De Graafschap
1–0 J. Spies
3′
2–0 A. van Soest
T. Dilrosun
6′
23′
D. Theodoridis 2–1
R. Niemeijer
34′
🟨 L. Schoppema
3–1 Q. Veenhof
B. Maguire
39′
Half-time 3–1
46′
🔁 F. de Jong
↦ S. Bultman
46′
🔁 A. van der Heide
↦ O. Raterink
K. Meeuwsen 🟨
47′
4–1 J. Spies
Q. Veenhof
54′
57′
J. Simons 4–2
60′
🔁 K. Symons
↦ L. Schoppema
60′
🔁 B. Boersma
↦ D. Theodoridis
V. Sint 🔁
↦ K. Meeuwsen
74′
75′
🔁 N. Kaninda
↦ R. Besselink
Q. Dumay 🔁
↦ M. Willems
77′
A. van Soest 🟨
81′
G. Slijkhuis 🔁
↦ A. van Soest
90′
D. de Leeuw 🔁
↦ J. Spies
91′
K. Hillen 🟨
92′
92′
🟨 J. Meerstadt
Full-time 4–2

Line-ups

GVVV Veenendaal

31 E. Evora G
2 T. Dilrosun
4 K. Hillen
8 B. Maguire
3 M. Willems
6 A. van Soest
10 Q. Veenhof
23 W. Vink M
20 J. Potjes
14 K. Meeuwsen
21 J. Spies
Bench (9)
1 R. van Kouwen
7 V. Sint
9 I. Latif
11 S. Sow
15 D. de Leeuw
17 B. Driessen
22 Q. Dumay
29 G. Slijkhuis
43 S. Brobbey

Coach: Gery Vink

De Graafschap

12 S. Kremers
4 O. Raterink D
3 R. Besselink D
18 S. Bultman D
5 L. Schoppema D
24 J. Meerstadt M
10 R. Niemeijer M
8 T. Gijselhart M
7 J. Simons F
9 D. Theodoridis F
11 I. El Kadiri F
Bench (10)
1 T. Wieggers
25 R. Jonkers
17 N. Kaninda
20 T. Braem
21 K. Symons
22 F. de Jong
26 A. van der Heide
28 B. Boersma
32 S. Broker
38 D. Eijken

Coach: Marinus Dijkhuizen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.