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Referee: I Oostrom
Katwijk
U S T S T
1–1
Full-time
Vitesse
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Katwijk Vitesse
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
4,0
Scored
2,7
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,5
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%
3 Shots 1
1 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 2
0 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
38 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
46 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Katwijk Vitesse
26′
🔁 R. Schwarz
↦ A. Tahaui
D. van Wageningen 🟨
30′
44′
🟨 M. Steffen
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 A. Moustafa
↦ M. Marschalk
48′
🟨 E. Huth
59′
D. Hoogewerf 0–1
R. Schwarz
62′
🟨 D. Hoogewerf
65′
🔁 N. Zonneveld
↦ D. Hoogewerf
66′
🔁 N. Bannis
↦ E. Huth
A. Menelik 🔁
↦ G. Korte
69′
B. Sinteur 🟨
70′
72′
🟨 N. Bannis
M. Mengerink 🔁
↦ R. van der Meer
75′
1–1 M. Brenna
78′
85′
🔁 Y. Ranon
↦ J. Pinto
V. Zandbergen 🔁
↦ Y. van der Pluijm
86′
M. Mengerink 🟨
96′
M. Suleiman 🔁
↦ M. Brenna
98′
K. van der Veldt 🔁
↦ M. Tahiri
99′
L. Bouwense 🟨
103′
105′
🔁 X. Thenu
↦ J. Bakker
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Katwijk

41 S. van Bladeren G
15 B. Sinteur D
21 L. Bouwense D
4 D. Maatsen D
5 Y. van der Pluijm
7 G. Korte M
16 D. van Wageningen M
6 R. van der Meer M
3 J. Ravensbergen M
22 M. Brenna F
19 M. Tahiri F
Bench (11)
1 J. Kesting
25 V. Zandbergen
10 M. Suleiman
11 J. Helder
14 K. van der Veldt
23 M. Kooij
29 M. Mengerink
18 A. Kamperveen
27 N. Esselink
46 A. Menelik
20 O. van der Meer

Coach: Jasper Ketting

Vitesse

16 C. van den Berg G
2 S. Bonnah D
55 M. Steffen
17 V. Zumberi D
5 J. Bakker D
6 M. Schikora M
19 A. Tahaui M
33 M. Marschalk
7 D. Hoogewerf M
9 E. Huth F
13 J. Pinto F
Bench (12)
23 J. Siecker
31 M. Brull
8 A. Moustafa
11 Y. Ranon
20 N. Bannis
21 R. Schwarz
22 X. Thenu
27 N. Zonneveld
28 A. Buttner
30 M. Driezen
34 Y. Ouallil
35 O. Achouitar

Coach: Rudiger Rehm

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

I Oostrom · 59 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.