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Copa del Rey
Ucam Murcia
U
1–3
Full-time
Cadiz
U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ucam Murcia Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 9%
0%
17%
Both score Ø 9%
0%
17%
Average goals
0,0
1,2
Scored
0,0
0,5
Conceded
0,0
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Palma del Rio 2 2 0 0 +10 6
2 Sant Just 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 CD Sant Jordi 2 2 0 0 +3 6
4 Puerto de Vega 2 1 1 0 +4 4
5 Inter de Valdemoro 2 1 1 0 +2 4
6 Maracena 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 CD Yuncos 2 1 1 0 +2 4
8 Deportivo Getxo 2 1 1 0 +1 4
9 SD Negreira 2 1 0 1 +3 3
10 Ourense CF 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Girona 1 1 0 0 +1 3
12 Burgos 1 1 0 0 +1 3
13 Manises 2 1 0 1 +0 3
14 Los Garres 2 1 0 1 +0 3
15 Textil Escudo 2 1 0 1 -3 3
16 Betis Valladolid 2 0 1 1 -1 1
17 Universitario FC 2 0 1 1 -2 1
18 Sporting Ceuta 2 0 1 1 -2 1
19 Campanario 2 0 1 1 -2 1
20 Alberite 2 0 1 1 -4 1
21 Constància 1 0 0 1 -1 0
22 Atlético Tordesillas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
23 Oviedo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
24 Lourdes 2 0 0 2 -3 0
25 Atletico Calatayud 2 0 0 2 -6 0
26 Atlético Melilla 2 0 0 2 -10 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ucam Murcia Cadiz
1′
⚽ R. Marti 0–1
I. Tabatadze
1–1 Alvarito ⚽
28′
J. Pontones 🟨
31′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 J. Diaz Peregrina
↦ J. Moreno
60′
🔁 E. Ugiagbe
↦ Y. Diarra
69′
⚽ R. Marti 1–2
I. Tabatadze
A. Marin 🔁
↦ J. Bravo
72′
M. Mizzian 🔁
↦ J. Pontones
72′
75′
🔁 S. Ortuno
↦ J. Gonzalez
75′
🔁 D. Camara
↦ R. Marti
75′
🔁 J. de la Rosa
↦ I. Tabatadze
77′
⚽ J. Diaz Peregrina 1–3
D. Camara
Urcelay 🟨
78′
N. Gonzalez 🔁
↦ D. Aquino
80′
P. Hernandez 🔁
↦ U. Urzelay
80′
A. Soto 🔁
↦ Alvarito
80′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Ucam Murcia

1 F. Ackermann
2 J. Ruiz
6 O. Jaiteh
4 Ramirez Javi
23 M. Sevila
17 A. Bueno
19 J. Bravo
18 J. Pontones
8 U. Urzelay
7 Alvarito
11 D. Aquino
Bench (11)
35 S. Mustienes
5 F. Roman
33 N. Farre
10 N. Gonzalez
14 P. Hernandez
20 A. Soto
32 X. Vila
31 S. Canto
9 Julito
16 A. Marin
22 M. Mizzian

Coach: Germán Crespo

Cadiz

1 D. Gil
2 J. Moreno
27 P. Fernandez
6 I. Ortega
33 R. Pereira
24 J. Gonzalez
5 M. Diakite
12 I. Tabatadze
18 Y. Diarra
10 B. Ocampo
9 R. Marti
Bench (11)
13 V. Aznar
26 F. Perez
21 M. Climent
34 J. Diaz Peregrina
14 B. Kovacevic
8 A. Fernandez
22 J. Ontiveros
15 S. Ortuno
17 D. Camara
7 E. Ugiagbe
19 J. de la Rosa

Coach: Gaizka Garitano Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.