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Serie B

Referee: Juan Luca Sacchi

Palermo

U U S U T

0–3

Full-time

Monza

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Palermo Monza

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

1,0

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Serie B · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,8

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

22%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

44%

56%

Average goals

1,7

2,0

Scored

1,1

1,2

Conceded

0,6

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,08 xG 2,27

53% Possession 47%

17 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 5

7 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 6

0 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Palermo 4. · Monza 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	9	6	3	0	+11	21
2	Monza	9	5	2	2	+4	17
3	Cesena	9	5	2	2	+3	17
4	Palermo	9	4	4	1	+5	16
5	Frosinone	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Carrarese	9	3	5	1	+5	14
7	Juve Stabia	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	Venezia	9	3	4	2	+4	13
9	Reggiana	9	3	3	3	+0	12
10	Padova	9	3	3	3	-1	12
11	Avellino	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Sudtirol	9	2	4	3	+0	10
13	Virtus Entella	9	2	4	3	-2	10
14	Empoli	9	2	4	3	-4	10
15	Catanzaro	9	1	6	2	-1	9
16	Bari	9	2	3	4	-6	9
17	Pescara	9	1	4	4	-3	7
18	Spezia	9	1	3	5	-4	6
19	Sampdoria	9	1	3	5	-5	6
20	Mantova	9	1	2	6	-9	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Modena	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Monza	5	4	0	1	+4	12
3	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
4	Virtus Entella	5	2	3	0	+3	9
5	Palermo	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Reggiana	4	2	2	0	+4	8
7	Carrarese	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Juve Stabia	4	2	2	0	+3	8
9	Bari	4	2	2	0	+2	8
10	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Empoli	5	1	4	0	+2	7
12	Avellino	4	2	1	1	-1	7
13	Pescara	5	1	3	1	+2	6
14	Sudtirol	5	2	0	3	+0	6
15	Catanzaro	5	1	3	1	+0	6
16	Sampdoria	5	1	2	2	+0	5
17	Padova	4	1	2	1	+0	5
18	Mantova	4	1	1	2	-5	4
19	Cesena	3	0	2	1	-1	2
20	Spezia	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	6	5	0	1	+4	15
2	Modena	4	2	2	0	+4	8
3	Frosinone	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Palermo	4	2	1	1	+2	7
5	Padova	5	2	1	2	-1	7
6	Carrarese	4	1	3	0	+2	6
7	Juve Stabia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Spezia	4	1	2	1	+2	5
9	Monza	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Avellino	5	1	2	2	-3	5
11	Sudtirol	4	0	4	0	+0	4
12	Venezia	5	0	4	1	-1	4
13	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Catanzaro	4	0	3	1	-1	3
15	Empoli	4	1	0	3	-6	3
16	Mantova	5	0	1	4	-4	1
17	Pescara	4	0	1	3	-5	1
18	Sampdoria	4	0	1	3	-5	1
19	Virtus Entella	4	0	1	3	-5	1
20	Bari	5	0	1	4	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.