Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Rayo Majadahonda
CF Talavera
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palma del Rio
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 6 |
| 2 |
Sant Just
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |
CD Sant Jordi
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |
Puerto de Vega
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 5 |
Inter de Valdemoro
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Maracena
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 7 |
CD Yuncos
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 8 |
Deportivo Getxo
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 9 |
Santander
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 10 |
SD Negreira
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Ourense CF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 12 |
Cadiz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 13 |
Girona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 |
Burgos
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 15 |
Manises
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 16 |
Los Garres
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 17 |
Textil Escudo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 |
Langreo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 19 |
Ferrol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 20 |
Betis Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 21 |
Universitario FC
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 22 |
Sporting Ceuta
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 23 |
Campanario
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 24 |
Alberite
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 25 |
Constància
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 26 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 27 |
Oviedo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 28 |
Ucam Murcia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 29 |
Lourdes
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 30 |
SD Logroñés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 31 |
Atletico Calatayud
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 32 |
Atlético Melilla
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.