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DFB-Pokal

Referee: F Exner

Wolfsburg

T T T T S

0–1

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S T U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Wolfsburg Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,7

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

9,0

2,0

Scored

9,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+9,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

50% Possession 50%

14 Shots 13

2 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 4

4 Offside 1

15 Free kicks against 14

7 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Wolfsburg 1. · Holstein Kiel 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+1	3
29	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Preußen Münster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
45	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0
46	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
47	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
48	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	FC Schweinfurt 05	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
53	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
54	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
55	FC 08 Homburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
56	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
57	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
60	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
61	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	ZFC Meuselwitz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	RSV Eintracht	1	0	0	1	-7	0
64	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	1	1	0	0	+1	3
2	Cottbus	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Braunschweig	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	Illertissen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Preußen Münster	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Eintracht Norderstedt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Pirmasens	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Dresden	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	FC Schweinfurt 05	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	BFC Dynamo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	BW Lohne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
23	FC 08 Homburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
24	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-2	0
25	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
26	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	0	1	-4	0
27	FV Engers 07	1	0	0	1	-5	0
28	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-5	0
29	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-5	0
30	ZFC Meuselwitz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
31	RSV Eintracht	1	0	0	1	-7	0
32	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+9	3
2	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+7	3
3	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+5	3
4	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+5	3
5	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+5	3
6	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Bayern Munich	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Stuttgart	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	St Pauli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-1	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.