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Copa del Rey

Ourense CF

U S S S T

4–2

Full-time

Oviedo

T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ourense CF Oviedo

Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches

Win Ø 39%

60%

17%

Points per game

2,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

40%

50%

Both score Ø 55%

60%

50%

Average goals

2,6

3,0

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%

24 Shots 14

9 Shots on target 5

8 Blocked shots 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

5 Offside 2

17 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	2	2	0	0	+10	6
2	Sant Just	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	CD Sant Jordi	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Puerto de Vega	2	1	1	0	+4	4
5	Inter de Valdemoro	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Maracena	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	CD Yuncos	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Deportivo Getxo	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	SD Negreira	2	1	0	1	+3	3
10	Manises	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Los Garres	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Textil Escudo	2	1	0	1	-3	3
13	Betis Valladolid	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Universitario FC	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Sporting Ceuta	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Campanario	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Alberite	2	0	1	1	-4	1
18	Lourdes	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Atletico Calatayud	2	0	0	2	-6	0
20	Atlético Melilla	2	0	0	2	-10	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Puerto de Vega	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	SD Negreira	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Manises	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Los Garres	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Maracena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	CD Yuncos	1	1	0	0	+2	3
9	Textil Escudo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Alberite	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Inter de Valdemoro	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Deportivo Getxo	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Campanario	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Betis Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Universitario FC	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
20	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Palma del Rio	1	1	0	0	+5	3
2	Sant Just	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Inter de Valdemoro	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	CD Sant Jordi	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Deportivo Getxo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Puerto de Vega	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Maracena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Universitario FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Betis Valladolid	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	CD Yuncos	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	SD Negreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Lourdes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Los Garres	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Manises	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Sporting Ceuta	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Campanario	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Atletico Calatayud	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Alberite	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Textil Escudo	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Atlético Melilla	1	0	0	1	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.