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KNVB Beker
Referee: L Gerrets
Capelle
S S T S S
1–5
Full-time
Roda
U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Capelle Roda
Last 6 — all competitions · 5/6 matches
Win Ø 40%
80%
0%
Points per game
2,4
0,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 74%
80%
67%
Average goals
4,4
4,5
Scored
2,8
1,2
Conceded
1,6
3,3
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-2,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hoogeveen 2 2 0 0 +6 6
2 Capelle 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 Hsc 21 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 Eemdijk 2 2 0 0 +5 6
5 Dovo 2 2 0 0 +5 6
6 Sportlust '46 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 FC Lisse 2 2 0 0 +4 6
8 ROHDA Raalte 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Hoek 2 2 0 0 +3 6
10 Halsteren 2 2 0 0 +3 6
11 Sparta Nijkerk 2 2 0 0 +2 6
12 Gemert 3 2 0 1 +1 6
13 SC Genemuiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
14 Koninklijke HFC 1 1 0 0 +5 3
15 Excelsior Maassluis 1 1 0 0 +4 3
16 Kozakken Boys 2 1 0 1 +3 3
17 De Treffers 1 1 0 0 +3 3
18 Excelsior '31 2 1 0 1 +2 3
19 Kloetinge 2 1 0 1 +2 3
20 Hercules 2 1 0 1 +2 3
21 Spakenburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 HHC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 ASWH 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 UDI '19 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Barendrecht 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Roosendaal 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 DVS 33 Ermelo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
28 Meerssen 2 1 0 1 +1 3
29 For Sittard 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 GVVV Veenendaal 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 't Zand 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 TEC 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Noordwijk 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 HZVV 2 1 0 1 -2 3
35 SVV Scheveningen 2 1 0 1 -2 3
36 URK 2 1 0 1 -2 3
37 ARC 2 1 0 1 -4 3
38 Groene Ster 2 0 2 0 +0 2
39 Den Bosch 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Den Haag 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Heino 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 De Foresters 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 VVOG 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 VV Scherpenzeel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Blauw Geel 2 0 1 1 -1 1
46 Poortugaal 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Huizen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 UNA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Vvsb 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Zwaluwen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Harkemase Boys 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Westlandia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Ijsselmeervogels 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Rijnvogels 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Aalsmeer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 Mierlo-Hout 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 TOGB 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 ACV 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Walcheren 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 ADO '20 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Staphorst 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 SteDoCo 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 AWC 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Juliana '31 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 RKAV Volendam 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 FC Emmen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Sportclub 25 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Hollandia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 DVO 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Olde Veste '54 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 GOES 1 0 0 1 -4 0
72 Kampong 1 0 0 1 -4 0
73 Dongen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
74 Erp 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Velocitas 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Capelle Roda
23′
I. Griffith 0–1
L. Beerten
J. Pollemans 🟨
30′
35′
J. Cooper-Love 0–2
L. Beerten
Half-time 0–2
F. Waandels 🔁
↦ M. El Yakoubi
46′
54′
J. Cooper-Love 0–3
56′
I. Griffith 0–4
J. Cooper-Love
58′
🔁 R. El Meliani
↦ K. Jansen
59′
🔁 I. Takidine
↦ M. Breij
J. Kassels 🔁
↦ V. Schippers
62′
O. Maatsen 🔁
↦ R. Olijfveld
62′
67′
🔁 D. Lajud Martinez
↦ I. Griffith
67′
🔁 J. Timmermans
↦ M. Tol
T. Letwory 🔁
↦ N. Haidary
69′
N. Urban 🔁
↦ T. Azaroiali
69′
69′
J. P. Muller 0–5
J. Cooper-Love
81′
🔁 R. Leijten
↦ J. Nisbet
1–5 F. Waandels
83′
Full-time 1–5

Line-ups

Capelle

1 J. van Leeuwen
2 Y. Duisterhof
4 N. Haidary
3 J. Pollemans
5 B. Roodenburg
10 V. Schippers
8 I. van Baalen
6 T. Azaroiali
12 J. Kusters
16 M. El Yakoubi
9 R. Olijfveld
Bench (11)
21 K. Nikolic
22 K. Roggeveen
24 S. Dijkgraaf
23 S. Wijngaarde
15 L. de Vries
20 J. Kalwij
14 J. Kassels
17 T. Letwory
11 O. Maatsen
7 N. Urban
19 F. Waandels

Roda

1 J. Treichel
22 J. Kruiver
3 M. Tol
28 J. Foss
5 K. Jansen
8 J. P. Muller
15 L. Beerten
14 M. Breij
4 J. Nisbet
11 I. Griffith
16 J. Cooper-Love
Bench (10)
9 A. van den Hurk
17 D. Lajud Martinez
20 R. Leijten
21 B. Zich
26 R. El Meliani
29 I. Takidine
30 C. Van Hemelryck
34 L. Maiorano
35 F. Janssen
2 J. Timmermans

Coach: Kevin van Dessel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

L Gerrets · 17 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,07 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.