Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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SD Negreira
Sociedad
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Palma del Rio
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 6 |
| 2 |
Sant Just
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +6 | 6 |
| 3 |
CD Sant Jordi
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 4 |
Puerto de Vega
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 4 |
| 5 |
CD Yuncos
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 6 |
Deportivo Getxo
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 7 |
Maracena
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -3 | 4 |
| 8 |
Inter de Valdemoro
|
3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -9 | 4 |
| 9 |
Getafe
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +11 | 3 |
| 10 |
Valencia
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 11 |
Granada
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 12 |
Santander
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 13 |
Tenerife
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 14 |
SD Negreira
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 15 |
CF Talavera
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 16 |
Huesca
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 17 |
Albacete
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 18 |
Ourense CF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Cadiz
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
Cultural Leonesa
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 21 |
Girona
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Guadalajara
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Burgos
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
Manises
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 25 |
Los Garres
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0 | 3 |
| 26 |
Textil Escudo
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 3 |
| 27 |
Langreo
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 28 |
Ferrol
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 29 |
Betis Valladolid
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 1 |
| 30 |
Universitario FC
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 31 |
Sporting Ceuta
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 32 |
Campanario
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | 1 |
| 33 |
Alberite
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 | 1 |
| 34 |
Constància
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 35 |
Cacereño
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 36 |
Atlético Tordesillas
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 37 |
Oviedo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 38 |
Ucam Murcia
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 39 |
Tropezón
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 40 |
Rayo Majadahonda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 41 |
Lourdes
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| 42 |
Utebo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 43 |
San Fernando CD
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 44 |
Roda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 45 |
SD Logroñés
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 46 |
RSD Alcalá
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 47 |
Atletico Calatayud
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -6 | 0 |
| 48 |
Atlético Melilla
|
2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -10 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.