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Ligue 1

Referee: Brisard Jerome

Caen

T U T T S

1–0

Full-time

Metz

U T T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Metz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 9%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

Conceded

0,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,3

Scored

0,7

0,3

Conceded

0,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

16 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 2

4 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Caen 13. · Metz 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	4	4	0	0	+12	12
2	Monaco	3	3	0	0	+5	9
3	St Etienne	4	3	0	1	+2	9
4	Lyon	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Marseille	3	2	1	0	+4	7
6	Bordeaux	3	1	2	0	+2	5
7	Angers	3	1	2	0	+2	5
8	Troyes	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Montpellier	3	1	1	1	+0	4
10	Strasbourg	3	1	1	1	-1	4
11	Nantes	4	1	1	2	-3	4
12	Nice	3	1	0	2	+0	3
13	Caen	3	1	0	2	+0	3
14	Lille	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Guingamp	3	1	0	2	-3	3
16	Toulouse	3	1	0	2	-4	3
17	Rennes	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Dijon	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Metz	3	0	0	3	-5	0
20	Amiens	3	0	0	3	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	St Etienne	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+4	4
4	Marseille	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Montpellier	2	1	1	0	+1	4
6	Strasbourg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Bordeaux	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Monaco	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Nice	2	1	0	1	+1	3
10	Lille	2	1	0	1	+1	3
11	Toulouse	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Angers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rennes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Troyes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Nantes	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Caen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Amiens	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Dijon	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Metz	2	0	0	2	-3	0
20	Guingamp	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	2	2	0	0	+4	6
2	Angers	2	1	1	0	+2	4
3	Lyon	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Paris SG	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Caen	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Troyes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Marseille	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Guingamp	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Nantes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
10	St Etienne	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Bordeaux	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Rennes	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Dijon	2	0	1	1	-3	1
14	Strasbourg	2	0	1	1	-4	1
15	Montpellier	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Nice	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Metz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Lille	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Toulouse	2	0	0	2	-5	0
20	Amiens	2	0	0	2	-5	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.