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Ligue 2
Referee: R Landry
Dunkerque
T S S T U
0–5
Full-time
Bastia
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dunkerque Bastia
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 17%
0%
33%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
1,3
1,8
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,5
This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches
Win Ø 22%
19%
25%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
38%
44%
Both score Ø 38%
38%
38%
Average goals
2,3
2,1
Scored
0,8
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

57% Possession 43%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 8
2 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 6
0 Offside 4
11 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dunkerque 18. · Bastia 16.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Laval 16 10 3 3 +8 33
2 Angers 16 9 4 3 +12 31
3 Auxerre 16 8 5 3 +15 29
4 Grenoble 16 7 7 2 +5 28
5 Pau FC 16 7 5 4 +1 26
6 Guingamp 16 6 6 4 +7 24
7 St Etienne 16 7 3 6 +1 24
8 Ajaccio 16 6 6 4 +1 24
9 Rodez 16 6 5 5 +3 23
10 Amiens 16 6 5 5 -2 23
11 Paris FC 16 6 2 8 -2 20
12 Caen 16 5 4 7 +0 19
13 Annecy 16 4 7 5 -3 19
14 Concarneau 16 5 4 7 -5 19
15 Bordeaux 16 5 4 7 -6 19
16 Bastia 16 4 5 7 -6 17
17 Troyes 16 3 7 6 -2 16
18 Dunkerque 16 3 4 9 -11 13
19 Quevilly Rouen 16 2 6 8 -5 12
20 Valenciennes 16 1 8 7 -11 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dunkerque Bastia
2′
Y. Okou 0–1
13′
M. Alfarela 0–2
Yohan Bilingi 🟨
35′
Half-time 0–2
R. Boissier 🔁
↦ T. Keita
46′
J. Anziani 🔁
↦ Á. Orelién
46′
47′
🟨 Florian Bohnert
Achraf Laaziri 🟨
59′
S. Baghdadi 🔁
↦ B. Koumetio
60′
68′
M. Alfarela 0–3
T. Ducrocq
71′
🔁 F. Tomi
↦ C. Vincent
A. Ipiélé 🔁
↦ N. Fernandez-Veliz
72′
75′
🔁 F. Bianchini
↦ K. Djoco
Opa Sangante 🟨
76′
A. Ba-Sy 🔁
↦ E. Bardeli
79′
84′
🔁 Dylan Tavares
↦ C. Traoré
89′
F. Tomi 0–4
92′
M. Alfarela 0–5
F. Tomi
Full-time 0–5

Line-ups

Dunkerque

4-2-3-1
16 A. Balijon G
7 Y. Bilingi D
26 Opa Sanganté D
4 N. Fernandez-Veliz D
89 B. Koumetio D
23 H. Gambor M
8 T. Keita M
29 Á. Orelién M
20 E. Bardeli M
15 A. Laaziri M
19 B. Youssouf F
Bench (7)
5 R. Boissier
10 J. Anziani
9 S. Baghdadi
17 A. Ipiélé
11 A. Ba-Sy
1 L. Lavallée
13 J. Senneville

Coach: Luís Castro

Bastia

3-4-2-1
30 J. Placide G
4 A. Roncaglia D
95 C. Keita D
99 Y. Okou D
15 F. Bohnert M
66 J. Janneh M
13 T. Ducrocq M
22 C. Traoré M
7 C. Vincent F
39 K. Djoco F
10 M. Alfarela F
Bench (7)
18 F. Tomi
17 F. Bianchini
42 Dylan Tavares
23 J. Fabri
19 M. Loubatières
27 R. Yapi
5 I. Dramé

Coach: R. Brouard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
U
3,14
B ✓
3,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,19
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

R Landry · 77 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.