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Ligue 2

Referee: B Lepaysant

Bastia

U T T S S

1–0

Full-time

Valenciennes

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bastia Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,3

1,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

31%

19%

Both score Ø 32%

25%

38%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

0,9

Conceded

1,3

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

19 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 6

3 Offside 0

22 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bastia 13. · Valenciennes 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Le Havre	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Bordeaux	17	9	4	4	+11	31
3	Sochaux	17	9	3	5	+12	30
4	Grenoble	16	7	5	4	+2	26
5	Caen	17	6	6	5	+2	24
6	Valenciennes	16	6	6	4	+1	24
7	Amiens	16	7	3	6	-1	24
8	Guingamp	16	6	5	5	+1	23
9	Paris FC	16	6	5	5	-1	23
10	Metz	16	6	4	6	+3	22
11	Quevilly Rouen	16	5	6	5	-1	21
12	Pau FC	16	5	6	5	-4	21
13	Bastia	16	6	3	7	-5	21
14	Laval	16	6	2	8	-4	20
15	Annecy	16	5	4	7	-1	19
16	Dijon	16	4	6	6	+0	18
17	Nimes	16	4	3	9	-6	15
18	St Etienne	17	3	6	8	-7	15
19	Rodez	16	3	6	7	-7	15
20	Niort	16	3	4	9	-14	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sochaux	9	6	2	1	+10	20
2	Bordeaux	9	6	2	1	+9	20
3	Le Havre	8	5	3	0	+9	18
4	Caen	8	5	2	1	+8	17
5	Grenoble	8	5	2	1	+4	17
6	Amiens	8	5	1	2	+5	16
7	Valenciennes	8	4	4	0	+4	16
8	Metz	9	4	3	2	+3	15
9	Dijon	9	3	4	2	+3	13
10	Nimes	8	4	1	3	+2	13
11	Bastia	8	4	1	3	+1	13
12	Quevilly Rouen	8	3	3	2	+2	12
13	Pau FC	8	3	3	2	-1	12
14	Laval	8	3	1	4	+1	10
15	Annecy	8	3	1	4	-3	10
16	Guingamp	8	2	3	3	-1	9
17	St Etienne	8	2	3	3	-3	9
18	Niort	8	2	2	4	-6	8
19	Paris FC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Rodez	7	0	3	4	-8	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	5	3	1	+5	18
2	Le Havre	8	5	2	1	+10	17
3	Guingamp	8	4	2	2	+2	14
4	Rodez	9	3	3	3	+1	12
5	Bordeaux	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Sochaux	8	3	1	4	+2	10
7	Laval	8	3	1	4	-5	10
8	Annecy	8	2	3	3	+2	9
9	Grenoble	8	2	3	3	-2	9
10	Pau FC	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Quevilly Rouen	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Valenciennes	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Bastia	8	2	2	4	-6	8
14	Amiens	8	2	2	4	-6	8
15	Metz	7	2	1	4	+0	7
16	Caen	9	1	4	4	-6	7
17	St Etienne	9	1	3	5	-4	6
18	Dijon	7	1	2	4	-3	5
19	Niort	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Nimes	8	0	2	6	-8	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.