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Ligue 2
Referee: B Dechepy
Rodez
U S T T U
4–1
Full-time
Angers
T U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rodez Angers
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,7
1,5
Scored
1,2
0,8
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Ligue 2 · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 30%
20%
40%
Points per game
1,0
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 30%
40%
20%
Both score Ø 40%
60%
20%
Average goals
2,2
1,6
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,2
0,6
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 9
5 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
3 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rodez 15. · Angers 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Caen 6 4 0 2 +7 12
2 Amiens 5 4 0 1 +4 12
3 Laval 5 3 1 1 +1 10
4 Grenoble 5 2 3 0 +3 9
5 Auxerre 5 2 2 1 +4 8
6 Bastia 5 2 2 1 +3 8
7 Angers 5 2 2 1 +2 8
8 St Etienne 6 2 2 2 +0 8
9 Guingamp 5 2 1 2 +3 7
10 Pau FC 5 2 1 2 -1 7
11 Bordeaux 5 2 1 2 -2 7
12 Troyes 5 1 3 1 +1 6
13 Annecy 5 1 3 1 +0 6
14 Ajaccio 5 1 3 1 -2 6
15 Rodez 5 1 2 2 -1 5
16 Dunkerque 5 1 2 2 -3 5
17 Valenciennes 5 1 2 2 -5 5
18 Paris FC 5 1 0 4 -5 3
19 Quevilly Rouen 5 0 2 3 -3 2
20 Concarneau 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rodez Angers
2′
L. Diony 0–1
P. Capelle
Half-time 1–1
1–1 K. Corredor
46′
2–1 W. Taïbi
L. Rajot
49′
Giovanni Haag 🟨
50′
52′
🟨 Jean-Mattéo Bahoya
64′
🔁 J. Lopy
↦ Z. Ould Khaled
64′
🔁 Z. Ferhat
↦ L. Rao-Lisoa
64′
🔁 F. El Melali
↦ J. Bahoya
R. Lipinski 🔁
↦ A. Abdallah
73′
A. Hountondji 🔁
↦ C. Dépres
73′
J. Chougrani 🔁
↦ L. Buadés
73′
W. Younoussa 🔁
↦ W. Taïbi
73′
77′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ I. Niane
A. Valério 🔁
↦ G. Haag
79′
81′
🟨 Yahia Fofana
Ahmad Toure Ngouyamsa 🟨
83′
3–1 A. Hountondji
K. Corredor
86′
4–1 L. Rajot
W. Younoussa
88′
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. Mpasi G
6 A. Ngouyamsa D
14 B. Danger D
15 S. Raux-Yao D
19 L. Buadés M
10 W. Taïbi M
24 G. Haag M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
12 K. Corredor F
25 C. Dépres F
Bench (7)
3 R. Lipinski
17 A. Hountondji
21 J. Chougrani
7 W. Younoussa
18 A. Valério
1 S. Cibois
22 T. Arconte

Coach: D. Santini

Angers

4-4-2
30 Y. Fofana G
2 Y. Valery D
25 A. Bamba D
22 C. Hountondji D
21 J. Lefort D
27 L. Rao-Lisoa M
12 Z. Ould Khaled M
15 P. Capelle M
24 J. Bahoya M
7 I. Niane F
9 L. Diony F
Bench (7)
8 J. Lopy
20 Z. Ferhat
28 F. El Melali
23 A. Hunou
5 M. Courcoul
17 J. Kalumba
16 M. Zinga

Coach: A. Dujeux

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,83
U
3,15
B
2,51
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,18
U2,5
1,65
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

B Dechepy · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.