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Ligue 2
Referee: P Legat
Bordeaux
S S T S S
2–0
Full-time
Metz
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bordeaux Metz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 50%
60%
40%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 35%
30%
40%
Average goals
2,1
3,1
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
0,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 2
1 Offside 1
9 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bordeaux 1. · Metz 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 10 6 2 2 +9 20
2 Amiens 10 6 2 2 +4 20
3 Sochaux 10 6 1 3 +11 19
4 Le Havre 10 5 4 1 +11 19
5 Guingamp 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Valenciennes 10 4 4 2 +1 16
7 Bastia 10 5 1 4 -1 16
8 Caen 10 4 3 3 +4 15
9 Metz 10 4 2 4 +3 14
10 Paris FC 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Dijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
14 Laval 10 3 1 6 -4 10
15 Rodez 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Quevilly Rouen 10 2 4 4 -6 10
17 Pau FC 10 2 4 4 -7 10
18 Annecy 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -5 8
20 Niort 10 2 2 6 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bordeaux Metz
27′
🟨 Habib Maïga
C. Michelin 🔁
↦ M. Bokele
34′
Fransérgio 🟨
43′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 J. Maja
47′
65′
🔁 A. Jallow
↦ L. Joseph
Clément Michelin 🟨
68′
A. Elis 🔁
↦ Z. Davitashvili
70′
T. Lacoux 🔁
↦ I. Sissokho
70′
75′
🔁 C. Sabaly
↦ L. Gueye
81′
🔁 A. Dia N'Diaye
↦ H. Maïga
E. Depussay 🔁
↦ D. Bakwa
82′
A. Badji 🔁
↦ J. Maja
82′
2–0 Fransérgio
A. Badji
92′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Bordeaux

4-3-3
16 G. Poussin G
4 M. Bokele D
2 S. Gregersen D
5 Y. Barbet D
14 V. N'Simba D
13 Fransérgio M
6 D. Ignatenko M
8 I. Sissokho M
7 D. Bakwa F
11 J. Maja F
30 Z. Davitashvili F
Bench (7)
34 C. Michelin
29 A. Elis
27 T. Lacoux
26 E. Depussay
10 A. Badji
31 R. Strączek
23 J. Mwanga

Coach: D. Guion

Metz

4-2-3-1
16 A. Oukidja G
39 K. Kouao D
8 I. Traoré D
5 Fali Candé D
3 M. Udol D
6 K. N'Doram M
19 H. Maïga M
20 L. Gueye M
21 A. Bassi M
9 G. Mikautadze M
24 L. Joseph F
Bench (7)
36 A. Jallow
14 C. Sabaly
80 A. Dia N'Diaye
15 A. Lô
40 O. Ba
34 J. N'Duquidi
22 S. Alakouch

Coach: L. Bölöni

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,28
U
3,23
B
3,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,06
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

P Legat · 57 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
28,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.