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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

Millwall

S T S T U

2–0

Full-time

Middlesbrough

T S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Millwall Middlesbrough

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,2

Scored

1,0

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — Championship · 12/11 matches

Win Ø 30%

33%

27%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

33%

55%

Both score Ø 53%

42%

64%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,1

1,3

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

9 Shots 7

7 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

0 Corners 7

2 Offside 2

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Millwall 16. · Middlesbrough 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sheffield United	12	7	3	2	+13	24
2	Norwich	12	7	3	2	+8	24
3	QPR	13	7	3	3	+6	24
4	Reading	13	7	1	5	-3	22
5	Burnley	12	4	7	1	+7	19
6	Swansea	12	5	3	4	+0	18
7	Blackburn	12	6	0	6	-2	18
8	Sunderland	12	4	5	3	+5	17
9	Luton	12	4	5	3	+3	17
10	Watford	12	4	5	3	+3	17
11	Preston	12	3	7	2	+0	16
12	Wigan	11	4	4	3	-1	16
13	Rotherham	11	3	6	2	+4	15
14	Bristol City	12	4	3	5	+2	15
15	Cardiff	12	4	3	5	-3	15
16	Millwall	12	4	2	6	-4	14
17	Hull	12	4	2	6	-11	14
18	Middlesbrough	11	3	4	4	-1	13
19	Birmingham	12	3	4	5	-3	13
20	Stoke	12	3	4	5	-4	13
21	Blackpool	12	3	3	6	-6	12
22	West Brom	12	1	7	4	-1	10
23	Huddersfield	11	2	2	7	-6	8
24	Coventry	8	0	4	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Reading	7	5	1	1	+5	16
2	Norwich	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Sheffield United	6	4	1	1	+9	13
4	Rotherham	7	3	3	1	+7	12
5	Blackburn	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Millwall	6	4	0	2	+3	12
7	Middlesbrough	7	3	3	1	+2	12
8	Hull	7	4	0	3	-3	12
9	QPR	6	3	2	1	+3	11
10	Cardiff	6	3	2	1	+2	11
11	Bristol City	6	3	1	2	+4	10
12	Burnley	6	2	4	0	+3	10
13	Watford	6	3	1	2	+1	10
14	Sunderland	6	1	4	1	+2	7
15	Luton	7	1	4	2	+0	7
16	Huddersfield	6	2	1	3	+0	7
17	Swansea	6	2	1	3	-2	7
18	Preston	7	1	4	2	-2	7
19	West Brom	6	1	3	2	+1	6
20	Birmingham	5	1	2	2	-1	5
21	Stoke	5	1	2	2	-3	5
22	Blackpool	5	1	1	3	-2	4
23	Wigan	5	0	3	2	-5	3
24	Coventry	1	0	0	1	-1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Wigan	6	4	1	1	+4	13
2	QPR	7	4	1	2	+3	13
3	Sheffield United	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Swansea	6	3	2	1	+2	11
5	Sunderland	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Luton	5	3	1	1	+3	10
7	Norwich	6	3	1	2	+1	10
8	Burnley	6	2	3	1	+4	9
9	Preston	5	2	3	0	+2	9
10	Stoke	7	2	2	3	-1	8
11	Birmingham	7	2	2	3	-2	8
12	Blackpool	7	2	2	3	-4	8
13	Watford	6	1	4	1	+2	7
14	Blackburn	6	2	0	4	-5	6
15	Reading	6	2	0	4	-8	6
16	Bristol City	6	1	2	3	-2	5
17	West Brom	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Coventry	7	0	4	3	-5	4
19	Cardiff	6	1	1	4	-5	4
20	Rotherham	4	0	3	1	-3	3
21	Millwall	6	0	2	4	-7	2
22	Hull	5	0	2	3	-8	2
23	Middlesbrough	4	0	1	3	-3	1
24	Huddersfield	5	0	1	4	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.