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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Santa Clara

T S T U T

1–2

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Santa Clara Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,7

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

0,7

2,3

Conceded

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 32%

13%

50%

Points per game

0,6

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

38%

75%

Both score Ø 44%

50%

38%

Average goals

1,8

3,4

Scored

0,6

2,0

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

33% Possession 67%

9 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 15

4 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Santa Clara 16. · Sp Lisbon 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Sp Braga	8	6	1	1	+15	19
3	Porto	8	6	1	1	+14	19
4	Casa Pia	8	5	2	1	+5	17
5	Estoril	9	4	3	2	+4	15
6	Portimonense	8	5	0	3	+1	15
7	Boavista	8	5	0	3	-4	15
8	Sp Lisbon	8	4	1	3	+5	13
9	Guimaraes	8	3	2	3	+0	11
10	Rio Ave	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Chaves	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Gil Vicente	9	2	3	4	-4	9
13	Arouca	8	2	3	3	-9	9
14	Vizela	8	2	2	4	-3	8
15	Famalicao	8	2	1	5	-3	7
16	Santa Clara	8	1	2	5	-4	5
17	Pacos Ferreira	8	0	2	6	-10	2
18	Maritimo	8	0	0	8	-19	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	4	4	0	0	+13	12
2	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+11	12
3	Sp Braga	4	3	1	0	+8	10
4	Sp Lisbon	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Portimonense	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Boavista	4	3	0	1	+0	9
7	Casa Pia	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Guimaraes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Rio Ave	4	2	0	2	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	2	0	2	+1	6
11	Estoril	4	1	2	1	+0	5
12	Santa Clara	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Gil Vicente	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Arouca	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Chaves	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-7	1
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Estoril	5	3	1	1	+4	10
3	Casa Pia	4	3	1	0	+3	10
4	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+7	9
5	Porto	4	2	1	1	+1	7
6	Chaves	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Portimonense	4	2	0	2	-1	6
8	Boavista	4	2	0	2	-4	6
9	Arouca	4	1	2	1	-3	5
10	Guimaraes	4	1	1	2	-1	4
11	Sp Lisbon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
12	Gil Vicente	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Vizela	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Rio Ave	4	0	3	1	-3	3
15	Pacos Ferreira	4	0	1	3	-3	1
16	Famalicao	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Santa Clara	4	0	0	4	-4	0
18	Maritimo	4	0	0	4	-15	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.