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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Braunschweig
T S U S U
2–1
Full-time
St Pauli
U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Braunschweig St Pauli
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
33%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,3
Scored
1,8
0,8
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
0,9
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
60%
60%
Both score Ø 60%
60%
60%
Average goals
3,1
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

37% Possession 63%
11 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
7 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
14 Free kicks against 8
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Braunschweig 17. · St Pauli 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 10 8 0 2 +10 24
2 Darmstadt 10 6 3 1 +8 21
3 Paderborn 10 6 1 3 +14 19
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 10 5 2 3 +7 17
5 Heidenheim 10 4 5 1 +7 17
6 Karlsruhe 11 5 2 4 +5 17
7 Hannover 10 5 2 3 +4 17
8 Kaiserslautern 10 3 6 1 +3 15
9 Holstein Kiel 10 3 4 3 -3 13
10 Hansa Rostock 10 4 1 5 -4 13
11 Regensburg 11 3 3 5 -8 12
12 St Pauli 10 2 5 3 -1 11
13 Magdeburg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
14 Nurnberg 10 3 1 6 -9 10
15 Sandhausen 10 2 3 5 -3 9
16 Greuther Furth 11 1 6 4 -5 9
17 Braunschweig 10 2 3 5 -9 9
18 Bielefeld 11 2 2 7 -7 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Braunschweig St Pauli
10′
🔁 A. Dźwigała
↦ D. Nemeth
10′
🔁 C. Metcalfe
↦ J. Irvine
Jannis Nikolaou 🟨
26′
32′
🟨 Afeez Aremu
Filip Benković 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
Robin Krausse 🟨
52′
60′
🔁 L. Daschner
↦ I. Matanović
60′
🔁 B. Fazliji
↦ A. Aremu
68′
M. Saliakas 0–1
M. Hartel
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ F. Kaufmann
69′
B. Henning 🔁
↦ R. Krauße
69′
Immanuel Pherai 🟨
73′
Jan Hendrik Marx 🟨
74′
M. Multhaup 🔁
↦ J. Marx
76′
L. Ihorst 🔁
↦ L. Lauberbach
76′
1–1 I. Pherai
L. Ihorst
77′
78′
🔁 L. Zander
↦ L. Ritzka
2–1 I. Pherai
J. Nikolaou
94′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Braunschweig

3-4-1-2
16 J. Fejzić G
15 N. De Medina D
30 B. Behrendt D
18 F. Benković D
26 J. Marx M
39 R. Krauße M
4 J. Nikolaou M
19 A. Donkor M
37 F. Kaufmann F
14 A. Ujah F
20 L. Lauberbach F
Bench (9)
10 I. Pherai
6 B. Henning
7 M. Multhaup
11 L. Ihorst
27 N. Kijewski
1 R. Hoffmann
21 K. Endo
2 M. Schultz
23 D. Wiebe

Coach: M. Schiele

St Pauli

4-3-1-2
22 N. Vasilj G
2 M. Saliakas D
4 D. Nemeth D
18 J. Medić D
21 L. Ritzka D
7 J. Irvine M
20 A. Aremu M
8 E. Smith M
10 M. Hartel M
14 E. Amenyido F
34 I. Matanović F
Bench (9)
25 A. Dźwigała
24 C. Metcalfe
13 L. Daschner
5 B. Fazliji
19 L. Zander
27 D. Otto
1 D. Smarsch
11 J. Eggestein
16 C. Boukhalfa

Coach: T. Schultz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,07
U
3,62
B
2,18
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.